Don’t miss this 888 Sport offer on the Champions League Final tonight. Simply place a pre-match bet on any goal scorer market for Juventus v Barcelona and if Dani Alves gets carded, 888 Sport will refund all losing bets as a free bet up to £25.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £18.40 and here’s how…
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page or a walkthrough guide on how it should be done.
It’s entirely up to you which goal scorer market you place your qualifying bet on. Ideally, it needs to be something that has a good chance of losing as only losing bets are refunded in the event of Alves receiving a card. Having looked at the odds available, I decided to minimise my potential loss by going for Messi to score any time. We can work out our lay stake using the matched betting calculator.
Place £25.00 on Messi to score any time @ 2.00 = Potential profit of £25.00
Lay £24.63 on Messi to score any time @ 2.08 = Potential liability of £26.60
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
Messi scores | +£25.00 – £26.60 = £1.60 loss |
Messi doesn’t score and Alves is carded | -£25.00 + £23.40 + £20.00 (extract 80% from our £25.00 free bet) = £18.40 profit |
Messi doesn’t score and Alves isn’t carded | -£25.00 + £23.40 = £1.60 loss |
So if Messi doesn’t score in 90 minutes and Alves is carded, we will make £18.40 profit. If Messi does score or Alves isn’t carded, we will lose £1.60. A £1.60 risk to make £18.40 profit gives us effective odds of 12.50. We can pretty much halve those odds as Messi is EVENS to get on the score sheet, but the fact that Alves is 3.50 to be carded makes this a profitable offer in the long run.
If you’re unsure how to extract 80% of our £25.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walkthrough guide on how it should be done.
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.