I love the Money-Back Special offers from BetVictor because their odds are some of the most competitive around. If 5 or more goals are scored during the Barcelona v Manchester City match, they’ll refund losing Correct Score, First/Last/Anytime Goalscorer, Scorecast & Half-Time/Full-Time bets as a FREE BET up to £25.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £17.88! And here’s how…
Whenever I do these Money-Back Special offers, I always stick to the correct score market. I find the liquidity at the betting exchange is far better than goalscorer markets and I just feel more comfortable here.
We need to select a correct score and hope it doesn’t come in, as only losing bets are refunded in the event of 5 goals or more being scored. Having looked at the odds on offer, I’ve opted for a 2-0 Barcelona win.
Step 1:
Place £25.00 on 2-0 Barcelona @ 11.50 = Potential profit of £262.50
Lay £24.06 on 2-0 Barcelona @ Betfair @ 12.00 = Potential liability of £264.66
Step 2:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the various outcomes…
|
2-0 Barcelona |
£262.50 – £264.66 = £2.16 loss |
|
Not 2-0 Barcelona with 5 or more goals |
-£25.00 + £22.88 + £20.00 (Assumes an 80% return from our £25.00 free bet) = £17.88 profit |
|
Not 2-0 Barcelona with 4 or less goals |
-£25.00 + £22.88 = £2.12 loss |
So we will win £17.88 if the game doesn’t finish 2-0 to Barcelona and 5 or more goals are scored! If 4 or less goals are scored, we will make a maximum loss of £2.16, which I’m sure you’ll agree is a risk worth taking as the odds of more than 4 goals being scored are around 4.10.
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.