It’s Betfair free bet time again! Place a pre-match Sportsbook Correct Score, Scorecast, First, Last or Anytime Goalscorer market bet on Costa Rica v Greece and get a full refund on losing bets as a free bet token if it goes to Extra Time, up to a maximum of £25.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential risk-free profit of £9.77 and here’s how…
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walkthrough guide on how to place your qualifying bets.
I always stick to the correct score markets for these types of offers and for this particular offer, we need to select a correct score that isn’t a draw. This ensures that we qualify for the free bet in the event that the match goes into extra-time as our qualifying bet will have lost. Having looked at the odds on offer, I’ve opted to place my qualifying bet on 1-0 Costa Rica.
Place £25.00 on 1-0 Costa Rica @ 7.00 = Potential profit of £150.00
Lay £23.18 on 1-0 Costa Rica @ 7.60 = Potential liability of £152.99
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the various outcomes…
1-0 Costa Rica |
+£150.00 – £152.99 = £2.99 loss |
Extra-time |
-£25.00 + £22.02 + £20.00 (Assumes an 80% return from our £25.00 free bet) = £17.02 profit |
Not 1-0 Costa Rica or extra-time |
-£25.00 + £22.02 = £2.98 loss |
If you’re not sure how to extract 80% of our £25.00 free bet, please see my Free Bet Strategy page for a walkthrough guide on how it should be done.
So as things stand we will make £17.02 profit if the match goes into extra-time. Unfortunately, if the match isn’t level after 90 minutes, we stand to lose a maximum of £2.99 and so we need to insure ourselves against this by laying the draw at the betting exchange.
To calculate our lay stake, we need to divide the £2.99 by 0.95 to allow for the 5% commission. This gives us a lay stake of £3.15.
Let’s have a look at our overall profit/loss for the three outcomes…
1-0 Costa Rica |
-£2.99 + £2.99 = £0.00 |
Extra-time |
£17.02 – £7.25 = £9.77 profit |
Not 1-0 Costa Rica or extra-time |
-£2.98 + £2.99 = £0.01 profit |
So if the match isn’t level after 90 minutes, we will break even and there’s no harm done. However, if the game does go into extra-time, we will make a nice risk-free profit of £9.77!
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.