Betfair Sportsbook Offer – Champions League Round of 16

There’s a busy week of Champions League action ahead, and Betfair are offering to double our winnings on our Correct Score bets. Place a pre-match correct score bet on any Champions League match this week and if our bet wins, Betfair will double our profit if the match is a draw at half-time. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a low risk chance of making some big profits and here’s how…

Betfair Offer - Correct Score Double Winnings Champions League February

Qualifying Bets:

This week’s eligible matches are as follows…

Fixture Kick-Off Date
PSG v Chelsea 19:45 Tuesday 16th February 2016
Benfica v Zenit St Petersburg 19:45 Tuesday 16th February 2016
Roma v Real Madrid 19:45 Wednesday 17th February 2016
Gent v Wolfsburg 19:45 Wednesday 17th February 2016

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

In order to be eligible for this offer, our £10.00 (max.) qualifying bets must be placed pre-match on the Correct Score market of the selected games. Only our first cash bet on the market will qualify. If the teams are drawing at half-time and our Correct Score bet goes on to win, Betfair will double our profit by paying the extra winnings as free bets. So, for example, if we place £10.00 on a winning Correct Score at odds of 6.00 (5/1), we would receive £60.00 in cash and £50.00 in free bets if the teams had been drawing at half-time.

We already know that by using straightforward matched betting, we can extract 80% cash from any free bet.

The lay odds at Smarkets won’t be available until nearer kick-off, so I’ve used Betfair Exchange odds in the following example as a guide. I’ve opted to place my PSG v Chelsea qualifying bet on a 1-1 draw.

I like to place my exchange lay bets with Smarkets as they have great liquidity, the site is really easy to use and they only charge 2% commission. It’s also a very bad idea to place back bets on the Betfair Sportsbook and then lay them off on the Betfair Exchange for obvious reasons.

We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £8.54…

betfair

Place £10.00 on a 1-1 draw @ 7.50 = Potential profit of £65.00

smarkets white

Lay £8.54 on a 1-1 draw @ 8.80 = Potential liability of £66.63

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

1-1 draw and not drawing at half-time + £65.00 – £66.63 = £1.63 loss
1-1 draw after drawing at half-time + £65.00 + £52.00 (extracted from £65.00 free bet) – £66.63 = £50.37 profit
Not a 1-1 draw – £10.00 + £8.37 (£8.54 minus 2% commission) = £1.63 loss

So if the match is drawn 1-1 having been level at half-time, we will make a rather nice profit of £50.37. Any other outcome and we’ll have lost £1.63. Risking £1.63 to win £50.37, gives us effective odds of 31.90, so given the fact that the odds of a 1-1 draw are only 7.50, this is a very profitable offer over time. Of course, the half-time score has to be a draw but with a final score of 1-1, there’s every chance the teams could be 0-0 or 1-1 at halfway.

This offer is available on all four specified matches. It’s entirely up to you which Correct Scores you go for, but here’s what I’ll be going for…

Selection Back Odds Lay Odds Qualifying Loss Potential Profit
PSG 1-1 Chelsea 7.50 8.80 £1.63 £50.37
Benfica 1-1 Zenit St Petersburg 6.50 7.80 £2.16 £41.84
Roma 1-2 Real Madrid 8.50 9.80 £1.86 £58.14
Gent 1-1 Wolfsburg 6.50 7.60 £1.95 £42.05

So as you can see, we’ll lose £7.60 if we don’t hit any winners, but with £192.40 in potential profit up for grabs, this offer is well worth a shot!

Free bets will be credited within 12 hours of each match ending and if you’re unsure how to extract 80% of any free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

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Leave me a comment below…

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.