I love the Money-Back Special offers from BetVictor because their odds are some of the most competitive around. If a Red Card is shown at any time during the Manchester City v Chelsea match, BetVictor will refund losing Correct Score, First/Last/Anytime Goalscorer, Scorecast & Half-Time/Full-Time bets as a FREE BET up to £25.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £17.77! And here’s how…
Whenever I do these sort of offers, I always stick to the correct score market. I find the liquidity at the betting exchange is far better than goalscorer markets and I just feel more comfortable here.
We need to select a correct score and hope it doesn’t come in, as only losing bets are refunded in the event of a red card being shown. Having looked at the odds on offer, I’ve opted for a 2-0 Manchester City win.
Step 1:
Place £25.00 on 2-0 Man City @ BetVictor @ 10.50 = Potential profit of £237.50.
Lay £23.97 on 2-0 Man City @ Betfair @ 11.00 = Potential liability of £239.70.
Step 2:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the various outcomes…
2-0 Man City |
£237.50 – £239.70 = £2.20 loss |
Not 2-0 Man City with red card |
-£25.00 + £22.77 + £20.00 (Assumes an 80% return from our £25.00 free bet) = £17.77 profit |
Not 2-0 Man City without red card |
-£25.00 + £22.77 = £2.23 loss |
So we will win £17.77 if the game doesn’t finish 2-0 to Manchester City and there is a red card! If no red card is shown, we will make a maximum loss of £2.23, which I’m sure you’ll agree is a risk worth taking as the odds of a red card being shown are around 4.00.
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.