I love the Money-Back Special offers from BetVictor because their odds are some of the most competitive around. If a red card is shown at any time during the Capital One Cup Final between Manchester City and Sunderland, BetVictor will refund losing Correct Score, First/Last/Anytime Goalscorer, Scorecast & Half-Time/Full-Time bets as a FREE BET up to £25.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £17.40! And here’s how…
Whenever I do these Money-Back Special offers, I always stick to the correct score market. I find the liquidity at the betting exchange is far better than goalscorer markets and I just feel more comfortable here.
We need to select a correct score and hope it doesn’t come in, as only losing bets are refunded in the event of a red card being shown. Having looked at the odds on offer, I’ve opted for a 2-0 Manchester City win.
Step 1:
Place £25.00 on 2-0 Man City @ BetVictor @ 7.50 = Potential profit of £162.50.
Lay £23.58 on 2-0 Man City @ Betfair @ 8.00 = Potential liability of £165.06.
Step 2:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the various outcomes…
|
2-0 Man City |
£162.50 – £165.06 = £2.56 loss |
|
Not 2-0 Man City with red card |
-£25.00 + £22.40 + £20.00 (Assumes an 80% return from our £25.00 free bet) = £17.40 profit |
|
Not 2-0 Man City without red card |
-£25.00 + £22.40 = £2.60 loss |
So we will win £17.40 if the game doesn’t finish 2-0 to Manchester City and a red card is shown! If no red card is shown, we will make a maximum loss of £2.60, which I’m sure you’ll agree is a risk worth taking as the odds of a red card being shown are around 5.40.
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.