Don’t miss this BoyleSports offer on Ireland v England. Simply place a bet on any First/Last/Anytime Goalscorer, Correct Score & Scorecast markets and if Ireland score, BoyleSports will refund losing stakes as a free bet up to maximum of £25.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a guaranteed profit of £5.75 and here’s how…
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walkthrough guide on how to place your qualifying bets.
Whenever I do these offers, I always stick to the correct score market. I find the liquidity at the betting exchange is far better than goal scorer markets and I just feel more comfortable here. We need to select a correct score that sees England keeping a clean sheet. This ensures that if Ireland score, we will automatically qualify for a free bet refund as our qualifying bet will have lost. Having looked at the odds available, I’ve opted for a 1-0 England win and we can calculator our lay stake using the matched betting calculator.
Place £25.00 on 1-0 England @ 6.00 = Potential profit of £125.00
Lay £19.87 on 1-0 England @ 7.60 = Potential liability of £131.13
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the three outcomes…
| 1-0 England | +£125.00 – £131.13 = £6.13 loss |
| Not 1-0 England and Ireland score | -£25.00 + £18.87 + £20.00 (extract 80% from our £25.00 free bet) = £13.87 profit |
| Not 1-0 England and Ireland don’t score | -£25.00 + £18.87 = £6.13 loss |
So as things stand we will make £13.87 profit if Ireland score. If they don’t score, we stand to lose £6.13. It’s not often we are able to do this, but by placing a further lay bet on England not keeping a clean sheet, we can guarantee ourselves a profit on any outcome!
Lay £12.50 on ‘England clean sheet – NO’ @ 1.65 = Potential liability of £8.12
Let’s have a look at our resulting potential profit/loss for the following outcomes…
| 1-0 England | -£6.13 + £11.88 = £5.75 profit |
| Not 1-0 England and Ireland score | £13.87 – £8.12 = £5.75 profit |
| Not 1-0 England and Ireland don’t score | -£6.13 + £11.88 = £5.75 profit |
So regardless of the result of the match, we will make a guaranteed minimum profit of £5.75!
If you’re not sure how to extract 80% of the £25.00 free bet refund, please see my Free Bet Strategy page for a walkthrough guide on how it should be done.
It’s likely that the odds will change between now and kick-off so if you’re wondering how to calculate the extra lay stake, here’s the formula…
lay stake = £20.00 / (lay odds – 0.05)
So if the lay odds have changed to 1.70, your lay stake would be £20.00 / 1.65 which equals £12.12.
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.