Coral Offer – Birmingham v Aston Villa

It’s the Second City Derby on Sunday and you don’t want to miss this Coral offer. Simply place a £5.00+ win single on the 90 minute Match Betting market for Birmingham v Aston Villa and if our team wins both halves, Coral will double our winnings, up to £100.00, in cash! Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a risk-free potential profit of £96.96 and here’s how…

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.

Qualifying bets must be placed between 08:00 on Saturday 29th October 2016 and 12:00 (kick-off) on Sunday 30th October 2016, to be eligible.

To qualify, we must place a £5.00+ Single bet at odds of 1.50 (1/2) or greater on the 90 minute win-draw-win market. If our team wins the first half and then goes on to win the second half, Coral will double our winnings in cash.

 

Example:

  • Bet £20.00 on Aston Villa to beat Birmingham in the 90 minute Match Betting market (£20.00 placed at 6/4).
  • Aston Villa are leading 1-0 at half-time and go on to win the second half 1-0 also, giving a full-time score of 2-0 to Aston Villa.
  • Our bet on Aston Villa has won, returning £50.00 (£20.00 stake and £30.00 winnings).
  • Within 24 hours of bet settlement, Coral will credit our account with a cash bonus, matching our winnings (£30.00 in this example).

 

The maximum cashback payment is £100.00 per customer and this will be credited within 24 hours of our bet being settled.

It’s entirely up to you which team you go for. Derby games are always tricky to call. Aston Villa have won two and drawn one since they appointed former Birmingham manager, Steve Bruce. However, I’ve opted to place my qualifying bet on Birmingham, as they’ve won four and drawn one of their last 5 league home games.

In order to work out our back stake, we need to divide £100.00 by 2.00 (back odds minus 1.00). This gives us a back stake of £50.00. It’s best that we stick to round numbers, so adjust your stake if need be.

I like to place my exchange lay bets with Smarkets as they have great liquidity, the site is really easy to use and they only charge 2% commission in comparison to the 5% charged by other betting exchanges.

We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £47.92…

coral logo

Place £50.00 on Birmingham @ 3.00 = Potential profit of £100.00

smarkets whiteLay £47.92 on Birmingham @ 3.15 = Potential liability of £103.04

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Birmingham win the match but not both halves + £100.00 – £103.04 = £3.04 loss
Birmingham win the match having won both halves + £100.00 – £103.04 + £100.00 = £96.96 profit
Birmingham don’t win the match – £50.00 + £46.96 = £3.04 loss

So, if Birmingham win both halves, we’ll make a nice profit of £96.96. Any other outcome and we’ll lose £3.04. Risking £3.04 to make a profit of £96.96 gives us effective odds of 32.89, so given that Birmingham are odds of 12.00 to win both halves, this is a profitable offer in the long run.

NOTE: We can actually make this offer risk-free by placing an extra lay bet on our selected team to win both halves on the Betfair Exchange. In order to work out our lay stake, we just need to divide our potential qualifying loss by 0.95 (to account for the 5% commission).

If the odds are decent, we can actually lay more and guarantee ourselves a profit on any outcome. To calculate our overlay stake, we would just need to divide the cash bonus by the lay odds (minus 0.05 to account for the 5% commission). So, using the above figures as an example, if the lay odds were 15.00, we would divide £100.00 by 14.95, giving us a lay stake of £6.69 and a guaranteed profit of £3.30.

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.