The Champions League Group stages conclude this week and this TonyBet offer is not to be missed. Place a £5.00 correct score bet on Wolfsburg v Manchester United and if it loses, TonyBet will refund us as a bonus up to a maximum of £5.00. The same applies to Chelsea v Porto, which is being played on Wednesday. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a guaranteed minimum profit of £6.48 and here’s how…
Qualifying Bet:
For this offer we need to select a correct score that has tight back and lay odds. If we underlay our bet instead of matching it completely, we can guarantee ourselves a profit on any outcome. Having looked at the odds available for Wolfsburg v Manchester United, I’ve opted to place my qualifying bet on 1-0 Wolfsburg.
I like to place my exchange lay bets with Smarkets as they have great liquidity, the site is really easy to use and they only charge 2% commission in comparison to the 5% charged by other betting exchanges.
We can calculate our lay stake using the following matched betting calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £3.81…
Place £5.00 on 1-0 Wolfsburg @ 7.75 = Potential profit of £33.75
Lay £3.81 on 1-0 Wolfsburg @ 9.00 = Potential liability of £30.51
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
1-0 Wolfsburg | +£33.75 – £30.51 = £3.24 profit |
Not 1-0 Wolfsburg | -£5.00 + £3.74 + £4.50 (extract 90% from our £5.00 bonus) = £3.24 profit |
So, regardless of the result of the match, we will make a guaranteed minimum profit of £3.24. If we follow the same strategy for Chelsea v Porto on Wednesday, we should make a guaranteed minimum profit of £6.48 on this TonyBet offer.
The above calculations are made on the basis that, should our correct score bet lose, we can extract 90% from our £5.00 bonus as cash, so £4.50. This is because any bonuses we receive must be rolled over once at minimum odds of 1.85 or above.
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.