Tottenham v Arsenal – BetVictor Money-Back Special

I love the Money-Back Special offers from BetVictor because their odds are some of the most competitive around.  If a Red Card is shown at any time during the Tottenham v Arsenal match, BetVictor will refund losing Correct Score, First/Last/Anytime Goalscorer, Scorecast & Half-Time/Full-Time bets on that particular match as a FREE BET up to £25.00.  Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £17.64!  And here’s how…

Whenever I do these Money-Back Special offers, I always stick to the correct score market. I find the liquidity at the betting exchange is far better than goalscorer markets and I just feel more comfortable here.

We need to select a correct score and hope it doesn’t come in, as only losing bets are refunded in the event of a red card being shown.  Having looked at the odds on offer, I’ve opted for a 1-1 draw.

 

Step 1:

betvictor

Place £25.00 on 1-1 draw @ 7.00 = Potential profit of £150.00

betfair

Lay £23.81 on 1-1 draw @ 7.40 = Potential liability of £152.38

Step 2:

 

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the various outcomes…

 

1-1 draw

+£150.00 – £152.38 = £2.38 loss

Not 1-1 draw with red card

-£25.00 + £22.64 + £20.00 (Assumes an 80% return from our £25.00 free bet) = £17.64 profit

Not 1-1 draw without red card

-£25.00 + £22.64 = £2.36 loss

 

So we will make £17.64 profit if the game doesn’t finish 1-1 and a red card is shown!  If no red card is shown, we will make a maximum loss of £2.38, which I’m sure you’ll agree is a risk worth taking as the odds of a red card being shown are around 3.60.

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.