There’s a big week of International football to look forward to and you don’t want to miss this William Hill offer! Simply place a bet on selected matches this week, and if 4 or more goals are scored in that game, William Hill will give us a 25% free bet win bonus. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us an overall potential profit of £50.00+ and here’s how…
Qualifying Bets:
This week’s eligible matches are as follows…
| Fixture | Kick-Off | Date |
|---|---|---|
| Germany v England | 19:45 | Wednesday 22nd March 2017 |
| Republic of Ireland v Wales | 19:45 | Friday 24th March 2017 |
| Portugal v Hungary | 19:45 | Saturday 25th March 2017 |
| England v Lithuania | 17:00 | Sunday 26th March 2017 |
| Scotland v Slovenia | 19:45 | Sunday 26th March 2017 |
| Northern Ireland v Norway | 19:45 | Sunday 26th March 2017 |
If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
If 4 or more goals are scored in the match, William Hill will give us a 25% win bonus, up to £100.00, paid as a free bet.
This offer applies to winning bets placed on ‘Match Betting’, ‘Both Teams To Score’ and ‘Match Result & Both Teams To Score’ markets. Qualifying bets must be placed at odds of 1.20 (1/5) or greater, to be eligible.
Free bets will be credited by midday the following day and will be valid for 7 days.
I wouldn’t advise going for the maximum £100.00 bonus on these as it may arouse suspicion. It’s probably best to play it safe and aim for the £25.00 mark.
For this offer to be profitable, we need to be selective with our qualifying bets and only get involved if we can find some really tight odds. We might find our best chance of finding tight enough odds will be in the build up to kick-off. I’ll use fictional odds for Germany v England in the following example and I’ll update the bottom of the post with my actual selections after the matches have been played.
Bear in mind that it may be worth placing our qualifying bets on both teams to score as you would expect both teams to have scored if 4 or more goals are scored in the match.
I like to place my exchange lay bets with Smarkets as they have great liquidity, the site is really easy to use and they only charge 2% commission in comparison to the 5% charged by other betting exchanges.
We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £100.57…
Place £100.00 on Germany @ 1.75 = Potential profit of £75.00
Lay £100.57 on Germany @ 1.76 = Potential liability of £76.43
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| Germany win and less than 4 goals | + £75.00 – £76.43 = £1.43 loss |
| Germany win and 4 or more goals | + £75.00 – £76.43 + £15.00 (extract 80% from £18.75 bonus) = £13.57 profit |
| Germany don’t win | – £100.00 + £98.55 (£100.57 minus 2% commission) = £1.45 loss |
So, if Germany win and 4 or more goals are scored, we’ll make a nice profit of £13.57. Any other outcome and we’ll lose £1.45. Risking £1.45 to make a profit of £13.57, gives us effective odds of 10.36. Given that the odds are around 4.20 for Germany to win and over 3.5 goals in the match, this is a profitable offer in the long run.
If you’re unsure how to extract 80% cash from any free bet, please see my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
This offer is available on all selected matches this week. It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bets on. I’ll update the following table with my selections after the games have been played…
| Fixture | Selection | Back Odds | Lay Odds | Qualifying Loss | Potential Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany v England | – | – | – | – | – |
| Republic of Ireland v Wales | – | – | – | – | – |
| Portugal v Hungary | – | – | – | – | – |
| England v Lithuania | – | – | – | – | – |
| Scotland v Slovenia | – | – | – | – | – |
| Northern Ireland v Norway | – | – | – | – | – |
* I was unable to find any suitable qualifying bets, so I decided to sit this one out. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.