Paddy Power Offer – 14:00 Goodwood (Friday)

Glorious Goodwood continues on Friday and you won’t want to miss this Paddy Power offer!  If your horse finishes 2nd or 3rd in the 14:00 at Goodwood race course, Paddy Power will refund all losing outright bets on that race as a free bet up to £50.00.  Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £34.47 and here’s how…

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walkthrough guide on how it should be done.

It’s entirely up to you which horse you go for, but it would make sense to select a horse with fairly short odds in the hope of a 2nd or 3rd placed finish.  Having looked at the odds available, I’ve opted to place my qualifying bet on The Corsican.

I like to place my exchange lay bets with Smarkets as they have great liquidity in the run up to races, the site is really easy to use and they only charge 2% commission in comparison to the 5% charged by other betting exchanges. We can calculate our lay stakes using the matched betting calculator.

paddypower

Place £50.00 on The Corsican @ 2.75 = Potential profit of £87.50

smarkets white

Lay £45.38 on The Corsican @ 3.05 = Potential liability of £93.03

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

The Corsican wins £87.50 – £93.03 = £5.53 loss
The Corsican places 2nd or 3rd -£50.00 + £44.47 + £40.00 (extract 80% from our £50.00 free bet) = £34.47 profit
The Corsican places outside top 3 -£50.00 + £44.47 = £5.53 loss

So we will make a nice profit of £34.47 if The Corsican places 2nd or 3rd and we stand to lose £5.53 on any other outcome. A £5.53 risk to make £34.47 profit gives us effective odds of 7.23, making this a very profitable offer in the long run, given the short odds and only 7 runners.

If you’re unsure how to extract 80% of our £50.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walkthrough guide on how it should be done.

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.