Unibet Offer – 15:10 Goodwood (Thursday)

Glorious Goodwood 2016 continues today and Unibet are getting in on the action! If our horse finishes 2nd or 3rd in the 15:10 at Goodwood, Unibet will refund our stake as a free bet, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £7.65 and here’s how…

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.

To be eligible, we must bet exactly £10.00 on the winner market (each way bets will not be included) of the 15:10 at Goodwood today (Thursday 28th July 2016).

It’s entirely up to you which horse you go for, but it would make sense to select a horse with fairly short odds in the hope of a 2nd or 3rd placed finish. Having looked at the odds available, I’ve opted to place my qualifying bet on Big Orange.

I like to place my exchange lay bets with Smarkets as they have great liquidity in the run up to races, the site is really easy to use and they only charge 2% commission in comparison to the 5% charged by other betting exchanges.

We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.84…

unibet

Place £10.00 on Big Orange @ 5.00 = Potential profit of £40.00

smarkets white

Lay £9.84 on Big Orange @ 5.10 = Potential liability of £40.35

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Big Orange wins + £40.00 – £40.35 = £0.35 loss
Big Orange places 2nd or 3rd – £10.00 + £9.65 + £8.00 (extract 80% from our £10.00 free bet) = £7.65 profit
Big Orange finishes outside top 3 – £10.00 + £9.65 = £0.35 loss

So, we will make a nice profit of £7.65 if Big Orange places 2nd or 3rd and we stand to lose £0.35 on any other outcome. Risking £0.35 to make £7.65 profit gives us effective odds of 22.86, which I’m sure you’ll agree, makes this a profitable offer in the long run.

If our horse finishes 2nd or 3rd, our £10.00 free bet will be credited before 12:00 on Friday 29th July 2016.

If you’re unsure how to extract 80% of a £10.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.