It’s the final day of the Premier League 2020/21 season on Sunday and you don’t want to miss this SpaceCasino free bet offer. Simply place a £20.00+ bet on any Premier League match and if it loses, SpaceCasino will give us a free bet worth £1.00 for every team that scores on the final day. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £14.42 and here’s how…
Key terms
- Applies to the 1X2 Full Time and Exact Score markets for Premier League matches.
- Applies to bets placed before 16:00 (kick-off) on Sunday 23rd May 2021.
- Minimum stake of £20.00.
- If our bet loses, SpaceCasino will give us a free bet worth £1.00 for every Premier League team that scores on Sunday.
Qualifying bet
If you’d like more information about qualifying bets and how they work, please see my qualifying bets guide.
It’s impossible to know how many teams will score on the final day, so there’s no way of knowing what value our potential free bet will be. If you want to take a guess you could treat this as a risk-free bet offer, otherwise it’s a case of placing your qualifying bet on something you think will lose, which will hopefully trigger the free bet.
Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Aston Villa to beat Chelsea at back odds of 6.75 (23/4). The lay odds are currently 7.20.
Either exchange works for this offer
Betfair and Smarkets are both great options for this offer. If you’ve not used one of them, now is a great time to give them a try.
- Money back as cash up to £20
- 0% commission for 60 days
We can calculate our lay stake using my Matched Betting Calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £18.80…
Place £20.00 on Aston Villa @ 6.75 = Potential profit of £115.00
Lay £18.80 on Aston Villa @ 7.20 = Potential liability of £116.56
Outcomes
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
So, no matter the outcome, we’ll lose a maximum of £1.58 in qualifying for our potential free bet.
Free bet
If our bet loses, SpaceCasino will give us a free bet worth £1.00 for every Premier League team that scores on the final day. Free bets will be credited by 16:00 on Monday 24th May 2021 and will be valid for 30 days. Free bet stakes are not included in any returns.
Using straightforward matched betting, we should be able to convert any free bet into 80% cash.
Therefore, if all 20 Premier League teams score, we should be able to get £16.00 cash from our £20.00 free bet. If we take into account our qualifying loss of £1.58, this gives us a potential profit of £14.42 on this SpaceCasino offer!
* 14 of the 20 Premier League teams scored at least one goal on the final day, though Aston Villa beat Chelsea 2-1, resulting in a loss of £1.56 on this SpaceCasino offer. *
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Darek
Guest userI had a look a previous rounds and I noticed that in single round 10 to 16 teams score at least 1 goal. So 20 might be too much to ask for but we should get anything between 13 to 16 in my opinion which isn’t bad at all.
Matt
1532Yes I agree Darek, it’s a very decent offer and anything around the 12-14 mark seems probable. 20 is certainly unlikely but it’s happened before so you never know.
poeski
Guest userI disagree – I think 20 is a reasonable estimate. There been an average of 2.68 goals per game this season and last day of the season tends to yield a higher number of goals as teams with nothing left to play for will give youth players a run out for example.
The previous 2 seasons had 30+ goals on the last day, so 20 seems a good enough estimate to me.
poeski
Guest userIgnore the previous comment – for some reason thought it was per goal rather than for each team
Matt
1532No worries Poeski. The past two seasons saw 15 and 17 different teams score respectively, so hopefully we’ll see a similar number this year.
JoeSnape
3Hi, Matt. Is there a link to this on the website? I’ve not logged in for a couple of years and trying to gauge if I’m gubbed or not!
Matt
1532You should find it on their Promotions page Joe. It’s their ‘Rocket of the Week‘ offer.
Betmonkey1984
3You sure the ‘actual profit’ update is correct Matt? Our Aston Villa back bet didn’t lose so we won’t get the free bets?!
Matt
1532Thanks for flagging that @Betmonkey1984. It had obviously been a long day!
soupdragon
19Anyone had their free bets on this yet?
MB
Guest userGot mine.
soupdragon
19Ah yes got mine too. Couldn’t see it credited anywhere but shows up when I go to place a bet.