A lovely little Winner offer on the Champions League Final tonight. Simply place a pre-match bet on Correct Score, First/Last Goalscorer or Half Time/Full Time markets on Juventus v Barcelona and if Lionel Messi scores any time in 90 minutes, Winner will refund losing stakes as a free bet up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £6.14 and here’s how…
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page or a walkthrough guide on how it should be done.
It’s entirely up to you which market you place your qualifying bet on but it needs to be something that has a good chance of losing as only losing bets are refunded in the event of Messi scoring any time. Having looked at the odds on offer, I’ve opted to place my qualifying bet on 2-0 Barcelona. We can work out our lay stake using the matched betting calculator.
Place £10.00 on 2-0 Barcelona @ 7.50 = Potential profit of £65.00
Lay £8.57 on 2-0 Barcelona @ 8.80 = Potential liability of £66.86
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| 2-0 Barcelona | +£65.00 – £66.86 = £1.86 loss |
| Not 2-0 Barcelona and Messi scores | -£10.00 + £8.14 + £8.00 (extract 80% from our £10.00 free bet) = £6.14 profit |
| Not 2-0 Barcelona and Messi doesn’t score | -£10.00 + £8.14 = £1.86 loss |
So if Barcelona don’t win 2-0 and Messi scores, we will make £6.14 profit. Any other result or if Messi doesn’t score, we will lose £1.86. A £1.86 risk to make £6.14 profit gives us effective odds of 4.30. The fact that Messi is as short as 2.12 to score any time makes this a profitable offer in the long run.
If you’re unsure how to extract 80% of our £10.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walkthrough guide on how it should be done.
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £90,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.