The Premier League Darts 2018 is in full swing and the bookies are getting in on the action! There are some great offers available each week, so provided we minimise our qualifying losses, we stand a great chance of making some big profits and here’s how…
Available Offers:
| Bookie | Offer |
|---|---|
| Betway | Bets settled as a winner (up to £25.00) if your selection loses 7-5 |
| BoyleSports | Double winnings (max. stake £20.00) if your selection wins with a 100+ checkout |
| Paddy Power | Money back (up to £10.00) if the match ends in a draw |
Qualifying Bets:
If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
The strategy is the same for all three offers. We just need to select players with tight back and lay odds in order to minimise our qualifying losses and hope we hit the money back/double winnings triggers.
Here are the eligible matches for Week 2 (Thursday 8th February 2018)…
| Time | Match |
|---|---|
| 19:15 | Michael Smith v Daryl Gurney |
| 20:00 | Rob Cross v Simon Whitlock |
| 20:40 | Michael van Gerwen v Peter Wright |
| 21:20 | Gerwyn Price v Gary Anderson |
| 22:00 | Raymond van Barneveld v Mensur Suljovic |
The following example is for the Betway offer. Having looked at the odds available for Raymond van Barneveld v Mensur Suljovic, we could place our qualifying bet on Raymond van Barneveld.
I like to place my exchange lay bets with Betfair as they have great liquidity and the site is really easy to use.
We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £24.42…
Place £25.00 on Raymond van Barneveld @ 2.10 = Potential profit of £27.50
Lay £24.42 on Raymond van Barneveld @ 2.20 = Potential liability of £29.30
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| Raymond van Barneveld wins | + £27.50 – £29.30 = £1.80 loss |
| Raymond van Barneveld loses 7-5 | + £25.00 + £23.19 (£24.42 minus 5% commission) = £48.19 profit |
| Raymond van Barneveld doesn’t win by other scoreline | – £25.00 + £23.19 = £1.81 loss |
So, if Raymond van Barneveld loses 7-5, we’ll make a nice profit of £48.19. Any other outcome and we’ll have made a maximum loss of £1.81. Risking £1.81 to make a profit of £48.19, gives us effective odds of 27.62. So, given that the odds of van Barneveld losing are 6.50, this is a profitable offer in the long run.
I’ll update the following tables with some actual selections after the matches have been played…
Betway Offer
| Match | Selection | Back Odds | Lay Odds | Qualifying Loss | Potential Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| van Barneveld v Suljovic | van Barneveld | 2.10 | 2.20 | £1.80 | £48.19 |
| Smith v Gurney | Smith | 2.625 | 2.74 | £1.82 | £48.18 |
BoyleSports Offer
| Match | Selection | Back Odds | Lay Odds | Qualifying Loss | Potential Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| van Barneveld v Suljovic | van Barneveld | 2.10 | 2.18 | £1.26 | £15.24 |
Paddy Power Offer
| Match | Selection | Back Odds | Lay Odds | Qualifying Loss | Potential Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smith v Gurney | Smith | 2.70 | 2.74 | £0.46 | £7.03 |
| Cross v Whitlock | Cross | 1.571 | 1.58 | £0.25 | £7.25 |
* No bonus/refund triggers were hit, resulting in an overall loss of £5.59 on these Premier League Darts offers. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £90,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.