It’s Bayern Munich v Dusseldorf in the Bundesliga on Saturday and you don’t want to miss this Money Back Special from Paddy Power. Simply place a bet on any market and if Muller scores, Paddy Power will refund all losing bets as cash, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £7.60 and here’s how…
Key Terms:
- Qualifying bets must be placed between 12:00 on Wednesday 27th May 2020 and 17:30 (kick-off) on Saturday 30th May 2020.
- This offer applies to all Bayern Munich v Dusseldorf markets.
- If our first bet loses and Muller scores, Paddy Power will refund our stake as cash, up to £10.00.
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
We need to place our bets on something we don’t think will happen, whilst keeping our qualifying loss as low as possible. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on The Draw (3/1) in the Half Time market.
We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator.
Aim to lose no more than £2.40 on our qualifying bet
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| Outcome | Bookie | Exchange | Cashback | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at half-time | +£30.00 | -£32.40 | £2.40 loss | |
| Not a draw at half-time and Muller scores | -£10.00 | +£7.60 | +£10.00 | £7.60 profit |
| Not a draw at half-time and Muller doesn’t score | -£10.00 | +£7.60 | £2.40 loss |
So, we’ll make a nice profit of £7.60 if the match isn’t level at half-time and Muller scores for Bayern Munich and we stand to lose around £2.40 on any other outcome. Risking £2.40 to make a profit of £7.60, gives us effective odds of 4.17. So, given that Muller is odds of just 1.909 (10/11) to score anytime, this is a profitable offer in the long run.
If eligible, our cash bonus will be credited within 3 hours of the final whistle.
* Bayern Munich led 3-0 at half-time and went on to win the match 5-0. Muller failed to score, resulting in a loss of £2.40 on this Paddy Power offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £90,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.