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Liverpool v Man City Offer – Space Casino

It’s Liverpool v Man City in the Premier League on Sunday and you don’t want to miss this Space Casino money back offer. Simply place a £10.00+ bet on Liverpool v Man City and if our bet loses and Liverpool lose the match, Space Casino will give us a £5.00 free bet. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £3.45 and here’s how…

Key terms

  • Applies to bets placed on Liverpool v Man City before 16:30 (kick-off) on Sunday 7th February 2021.
  • Minimum stake of £10.00.
  • If our bet loses and Liverpool lose the match, Space Casino will give us a £5.00 free bet.

Qualifying bet

If you’d like more information about qualifying bets and how they work, please see my qualifying bets guide.

It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bet on, though it makes sense to select a bet that doesn’t see Liverpool losing the match.

Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Liverpool in the 1X2 Full Time market.

Either exchange works for this offer

Betfair and Smarkets are both great options for this offer. If you’ve not used one of them, now is a great time to give them a try.

  • Money back as cash up to £20
  • 0% commission for 60 days

We can calculate our lay stake using my Matched Betting Calculator

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.65…

Space Casino logo

Place £10.00 on Liverpool @ 3.60 = Potential profit of £26.00

Betfair logo

Lay £9.65 on Liverpool @ 3.75 = Potential liability of £26.53

Outcomes

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

OutcomeSpace CasinoBetfairFree BetProfit/Loss
Liverpool win+ £26.00– £26.53£0.53 loss
Draw– £10.00+ £9.45£0.55 loss
Man City win– £10.00+ £9.45+ £4.00£3.45 profit

So, we’ll make a nice profit of £3.45 if Man City win the match and we stand to lose a maximum of £0.55 on any other outcome. Risking £0.55 to make a profit of £3.45, gives us effective odds of 7.27. So, given that the odds are just 2.10 (11/10) for Man City to win, this is a profitable offer in the long run.

If eligible, our £5.00 free bet will be credited by 15:00 on Monday 8th February 2021 and will be valid for 30 days. Free bet stakes are not included in any returns.

If you’re unsure on how to convert your £5.00 free bet into £4.00 cash (80%), please see my free bets guide for a walkthrough of how it should be done.

* Man City won the match 4-1, resulting in a profit of £3.45 on this Space Casino offer. *

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £90,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.