It’s Man City v Lyon in the Champions League on Saturday night and you don’t want to miss this Paddy Power money back offer. Simply place a bet on any market and if Sterling scores in 90 minutes, Paddy Power will refund all losing bets as cash, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £9.10 and here’s how…
Key Terms:
- Qualifying bets must be placed between 10:00 on Thursday 13th August 2020 and 20:00 (kick-off) on Saturday 15th August 2020.
- This offer applies to all Man City v Lyon markets.
- If our first bet loses and Sterling scores in 90 minutes, Paddy Power will refund our stake as cash, up to £10.00.
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
We need to place our bet on something we don’t think will happen if Sterling scores.
Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on The Draw (11/2) in the Match Odds market.
We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator.
Aim to lose no more than £0.90 on our qualifying bet
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| Outcome | Bookie | Exchange | Cashback | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | +£55.00 | -£55.90 | £0.90 loss | |
| Not a draw and Sterling scores | -£10.00 | +£9.10 | +£10.00 | £9.10 profit |
| Not a draw and Sterling doesn’t score | -£10.00 | +£9.10 | £0.90 loss |
So, we’ll make a nice profit of £9.10 if the match isn’t a draw and Sterling scores for Man City and we stand to lose around £0.90 on any other outcome. Risking £0.90 to make a profit of £9.10, gives us effective odds of 11.11. So, given that Sterling is odds of just 2.10 (11/10) to score anytime, this is a profitable offer in the long run.
If eligible, our cash bonus will be credited within 3 hours of the final whistle.
* Lyon won the match 3-1 and Sterling failed to score, resulting in a loss of £0.90 on this Paddy Power offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £90,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.