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Stan James Offer – Fulham v Newcastle

Fulham host Newcastle United in the opening game of the Championship 2016/17 season tonight and Stan James are getting in on the action. Simply place a £20.00 bet on the Match Betting market for Fulham v Newcastle United and if our bet is a winner, Stan James will give us a £10.00 free bet. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a guaranteed profit of £3.31 and here’s how…

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.

Qualifying bets must be placed between 09:00 on Wednesday 3rd August 2016 and 19:45 on Friday 5th August 2016, to be eligible.

Having looked at the odds available, I’ve opted to place my qualifying bet on Newcastle United.

I like to place my exchange lay bets with Smarkets as they have great liquidity, the site is really easy to use and they only charge 2% commission in comparison to the 5% charged by other betting exchanges.

If our £20.00 back bet on Newcastle United wins at odds of 2.05, it will return £41.00. We will then receive an additional £10.00 free bet, from which we should be able to extract 80% as cash, so £8.00. This gives us total returns of £49.00 from a £20.00 stake, which gives us effective odds of 2.45.

We can enter these effective odds into the matched betting calculator in order to calculate our lay stake…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £23.79…

stanjames

Place £20.00 on Newcastle @ 2.05 = Potential profit of £21.00

smarkets whiteLay £23.79 on Newcastle @ 2.08 = Potential liability of £25.69

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Newcastle win + £21.00 – £25.69 + £8.00 (extract 80% of £10.00 free bet) = £3.31 profit
Newcastle don’t win – £20.00 + £23.31 (£23.79 minus 2% commission) = £3.31 profit

So, regardless of the result of the match, we will make a guaranteed profit of £3.31 on this Stan James offer!

If eligible, our free bet will be credited within 48 hours of our qualifying bet settling and will be valid for 3 days. Free bet stakes are not returned with any winnings.

Got a question?
Leave me a comment below…

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £90,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.