There’s a big day of racing at Ayr on Saturday, and you don’t want to miss this Betfair Exchange money back offer! Place a bet of up to £10.00 on the 13:50 Ayr, and Betfair will refund our stake as a free bet if our horse fails to place. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £7.17 and here’s how…
Key terms
- Applies to our first cash bet on the 13:50 Ayr on Saturday 2nd April 2022.
- Applies to bets placed from 10:00 on Thursday 31st March 2022.
- Applies to bets up to the value of £10.00 (£10.00 win or £5.00 each way).
- Money back as a free bet if our horse fails to finish 1st, 2nd or 3rd.
- Applies to back bets only; lay bets do not qualify.
- Betfair Rewards’ Basic’ customers are excluded from this promotion.
Qualifying bet
Please see my qualifying bets guide if you’d like more information about them and how they work.
It’s entirely up to you which horse you go for, but it would make sense to select a horse with pretty long odds hoping it won’t finish 1st, 2nd or 3rd.
At the time of writing, Lord Accord is available at back odds of 8.60 and lay odds of 8.80.
We can calculate our lay stakes using my Matched Betting Calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.36…
Place £10.00 on Lord Accord @ 8.60 = Potential profit of £72.20
Lay £9.36 on Lord Accord @ 8.80 = Potential liability of £73.00
Outcomes
Let’s look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| Outcome | Betfair | Exchange | Free Bet | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lord Accord wins | + £72.20 | – £73.00 | £0.80 loss | |
| Lord Accord finishes 2nd or 3rd | – £10.00 | + £9.17 | £0.83 loss | |
| Lord Accord fails to finish 1st, 2nd or 3rd | – £10.00 | + £9.17 | + £8.00 | £7.17 profit |
So, we’ll make a profit of £7.17 if Lord Accord fails to finish 1st, 2nd or 3rd, or we’ll lose a maximum of £0.83 on any other outcome. Risking £0.83 to make a profit of £7.17 gives us effective odds of 9.64, which I’m sure you’ll agree, makes this a profitable offer in the long run.
If eligible, free bets will be credited within 24 hours and valid on any horse racing market for 7 days.
If you’re unsure how to convert your £10.00 free bet into £8.00 cash (80%), please see my free bets guide for a walkthrough.
* Lord Accord failed to finish 1st, 2nd or 3rd, resulting in a £7.17 profit on this Betfair Exchange offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £90,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.