Royal Ascot 2019 gets underway on Tuesday and you don’t want to miss this Bet365 offer! Simply back a winner at 4/1 or more in any live ITV race and Bet365 will give us a risk-free bet equal to our stake, up to a maximum of £50.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us an overall potential profit of £100.00+ and here’s how…
Key Terms:
- Offer applies to first win or each way single bet placed on each race shown live on ITV.
- If our horse wins, we’ll qualify for a risk-free bet to the same stake, up to £50.00, on the next ITV race.
- Risk-free bets must be placed using our own funds and if it loses, Bet365 will refund our stake in cash.
Qualifying Bets:
This offer is available on all six Royal Ascot races each day (14:30, 15:05, 15:40, 16:20, 17:00 and 17:35).
If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
We have the option to overlay our bets for a small guaranteed profit. We can simply add 0.75 to our back odds when entering them into the calculator as we would expect to extract 75% cash from a risk-free bet, should our horse win.
The guaranteed profits are a little on the small side though, so it may be best to just lay our bets normally and hope a couple of our horses win.
The back and lay odds should tighten up as the start of each race draws nearer. In the meantime though, I’ll use fictional lay odds for Mustashry in the 14:30 at Royal Ascot on Tuesday to illustrate how this offer should be done. I’ll update the table at the bottom of the post with some actual selections at the end of each day.
At the time of writing, laying our bet at Smarkets is likely to give us the smallest qualifying loss.
We can calculate our stake using my matched betting calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £48.42…
Place £50.00 on Mustashry @ 5.50 = Potential profit of £225.00
Lay £48.42 on Mustashry @ 5.70 = Potential liability of £227.57
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
Outcome | Bookie | Exchange | Extracted | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|
Mustashry wins | +£225.00 | -£227.57 | +£37.50 | £34.93 profit |
Mustashry doesn’t win | -£50.00 | +£47.45 | £2.55 loss |
So, we’ll make a nice profit of £34.93 if Mustashry wins, otherwise we’ll lose £2.55. Risking £2.55 to make a profit of £34.93 gives us effective odds of 14.70. So, given that Mustashry is odds of just 5.50 (9/2) to win the race, this is a profitable offer in the long run.
This offer is available on all 30 Royal Ascot 2019 races, giving us an overall potential profit of £100.00+ on this Bet365 offer!
If any of our selections win, our risk-free bet will be valid on the very next ITV race. We must place our risk-free bets using our own funds and if our selection loses, Bet365 will refund our stake in cash, up to a maximum of £50.00. If our risk-free bet wins, we’ll qualify for another risk-free bet on the next ITV race.
If you’re unsure how to extract £37.50 cash (75%) from a £50.00 risk-free bet, check out my Risk-Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
I’ll update the following table with some actual selections at the end of each day…
Race | Selection | Back Odds | Lay Odds | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|
16:20 Tuesday | King Of Comedy | 7.00 | 7.20 | -£2.23 |
15:40 Wednesday | Crystal Ocean | 5.00 | 5.20 | -£2.69 |
16:20 Wednesday | I Can Fly | 5.00 | 5.00 | +£39.35 * |
17:00 Wednesday | New Graduate | 8.00 | 8.20 | -£2.08 |
14:30 Thursday | A’ali | 6.00 | 6.20 | -£2.40 |
15:05 Thursday | Cape Of Good Hope | 6.00 | 6.40 | +£38.39 ** |
16:20 Thursday | Cross Counter | 5.50 | 5.70 | -£2.55 |
14:30 Friday | Daahyeh | 5.00 | 5.30 | -£3.60 |
15:05 Friday | Private Secretary | 6.00 | 6.60 | +£37.23 *** |
17:00 Friday | Desirous | 7.00 | 7.20 | -£2.23 |
16:20 Saturday | City Light | 8.50 | 8.80 | -£2.56 |
17:35 Saturday | Max Dynamite | 5.00 | 5.30 | -£3.60 |
Total: | +£91.03 |
* Crystal Ocean won the 15:40 on Wednesday, resulting in a profit of £39.35 on the next race (16:20). *
** A’ali won the 14:30 on Thursday, resulting in a profit of £38.39 on the next race (15:05). *
*** Daahyeh won the 14:30 on Friday, resulting in a profit of £37.23 on the next race (15:05). *
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Anonymous
Guest userIf I place my single bets on each race in the morning and the race, for example at 14:30, wins at odds over 4/1, will my next bet on the 15:05 race automatically be risk free?
Matt
1531I believe so, yes.
Fordy
44Yes that’s correct.
Also, worth waiting for 10am to place bets as 365 will be top price.
Fordy
44Is this offer likely to end up in a gubbing? It’s one account I would not like to lose…
Matt
1531That’s not something I can give you any assurances on Fordy.
There are plenty of other offers available though if you’d rather err on the side of caution.
Fordy
44Gone with it… Le Brivido 6.5 to back and 6.6 to lay.
Always difficult to weigh up whether its best to back the horse with the best chance or the one which offers the closest back and lay.
Matt
1531Nice match that Fordy, good luck!
Anthony
Guest userI struggle to find any value in bet365 offers other than the grand national am I missing something?
Matt
1531You just need to keep an eye on the odds Anthony. You might find they tighten up closer to the start of each race.
Sully
Guest userPerhaps don’t max your bet out and stick to your regular betting patterns with them, I’m just going for £10 stakes for example
Vicky
Guest userSo if the first bet wins at 4/1 or more then bet another £50 on next race and in calculator do we do risk free and put £50 in cashback bit?
Fordy
44Yep that’s it.
Nick
Guest userHow would this work if I backed and layed all races in the morning and didn’t review it until all the races had done?
Matt
1531It would depend on the outcomes of the races Nick.
I believe any risk-free bets you qualify for would apply to the bet you have already placed on the eligible race.
Nick
Guest userThink I’m just going to do the last race each day to use the following day. I can’t commit to being available at each race start time.
Matt
1531Fair enough Nick, that sounds like the right decision for this one.
Aaron
Guest userIf we win and get a risk-free bet, surely we extract more by not placing a lay bet on it as if it loses, it is refunded back to us as cash? But if it wins we get even more
Matt
1531If you don’t lay your risk-free bet and it loses, you’ve not gained anything Aaron.
Of course, if you want to punt it for a risk-free shot at a big payout, that’s entirely your call.
The purpose of laying the risk-free bet is to lock in around £37.50 (75%) profit, regardless of the outcome.
Aaron
Guest userOh okay, thank you. You are right, that makes more sense.
Fordy
44Hit two so far, its surprising how close the odds can get and that it is quite possible to lay for profit before the actual races. So great offer thus far 👍
Howard
Guest userGubbed. Bet365 will always gub if you do this offer a lot – best to dip into i reckon…
Fordy
44Gubbed today? As in restricted the amount you can bet?
Howard
Guest useryep – because i do this offer – happened multiple times in past – it is the one offer that bet365 will limit your account on more than anything else – all the 4/1 horse offers. So best to dip into it in my opinion…
Twelfie
Guest userIf you win on the last race (17:35), is it correct that you need to bet on the first race tomorrow (14:30)? I can’t see any other ITV racing being shown between those two times. Thanks.
Matt
1531Yes that’s correct.
Matt
Guest userWhat happens if you win on the last race of ascot as a whole?
Matt
1531‘5. If you back the winner of the last ITV Racing 4/1 Offer Race on any day, your risk free bet will be the first bet you place on the next ITV Racing 4/1 Offer Race to take place.‘
That’s listed as being the first ITV race next Saturday (29th June 2019).
Aaron
Guest userHow long does the refund actually take?
Matt
1531‘If your risk free bet loses, your stake will be refunded to your account within one hour of the race finishing.‘
Aaron
Guest userNice one, cheers Matt.