It’s England v Australia in the Rugby World Cup 2019 Quarter-Finals on Saturday and you don’t want to miss this Money Back Special from Paddy Power. Simply place a bet on any market and if a forward scores the first try, Paddy Power will refund all losing bets as a free bet, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £6.85 and here’s how…
Key Terms:
- Qualifying bets must be placed between 17:00 on Monday 14th October 2019 and 08:15 (kick-off) on Saturday 19th October 2019.
- This offer applies to all England v Australia markets.
- If our first bet loses and a forward scores the first try, Paddy Power will refund our stake as a free bet, up to £10.00.
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bet on. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Australia (5/2) in the Match Betting market.
We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator.
Aim to lose no more than £1.15 on our qualifying bet
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| Outcome | Bookie | Exchange | Extracted | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia win | +£25.00 | -£26.15 | £1.15 loss | |
| Australia don’t win and a forward scores the first try | -£10.00 | +£8.85 | +£8.00 | £6.85 profit |
| Australia don’t win and a forward doesn’t score the first try | -£10.00 | +£8.85 | £1.15 loss |
So, we’ll make a nice profit of £6.85 if Australia don’t win and a forward scores the first try and we stand to lose around £1.15 on any other outcome. Risking £1.15 to make a profit of £6.85, gives us effective odds of 6.96. So, given that the odds of a forward scoring the first try are around 2.50 (6/4), this is a profitable offer in the long run.
If eligible, free bets will be credited within two hours of the match ending. Free bet stakes will not be included in any returns.
If you’re unsure how to extract £8.00 cash (80%) from the £10.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
* England won the match 40-16 with England Back, Jonny May, scoring the first try, resulting in a loss of £1.15 on this Paddy Power offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £90,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.