It’s Roger Federer v Hubert Hurkacz in the Quarter-Finals of Wimbledon on Wednesday and you don’t want to miss this Betway early payout offer! Simply bet up to £20.00 on Federer or Hurkacz to win the match and if our selected player wins the first set and loses, Betway will pay us out as a winner, in cash! Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £59.72 and here’s how…
Key terms
- Maximum qualifying stake of £20.00.
- Applies to single bets placed on Federer or Hurkacz in the Match Winner market.
- Applies to bets placed before the match starts, at around 15:30 on Wednesday 7th July 2021.
- If our selected player wins the first set and fails to win the match, Betway will pay our bet out in cash, within 24 hours.
NOTE: Be aware that Betway have different retirement rules to Betfair and Smarkets, which could leave you exposed to a big loss in the event of a retirement. The safest way of doing this offer is dutching your qualifying bet at another bookmaker with the same retirement rules, as explained in this guide.
Qualifying bet
If our selected player wins the first set, we know that Betway will pay our bet out as a winner, no matter the result. We can therefore treat it as an early payout offer. If you’re unfamiliar with early payout offers, please see my bet365 Early Payout (2UP) guide for a walkthrough of how they should be done.
Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Hubert Hurkacz at odds of 3.10 (21/10). If Hurkacz wins the first set and fails to win the match, Betway will pay our bet out as a winner.
At the time of writing, bet365 have the best odds for Roger Federer at 1.40 (2/5).
We can calculate our stake using the ‘2-Way Dutch‘ setting on my Early Payout Calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us to stake £44.29 on Roger Federer…
Place £20.00 on Hubert Hurkacz @ 3.10 = Potential profit of £42.00
Place £44.29 on Roger Federer @ 1.40 = Potential profit of £17.72
No early payout
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss if Hurkacz doesn’t win the first set…
| Outcome | Betway | bet365 | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hurkacz wins | + £42.00 | – £44.29 | £2.29 loss |
| Federer wins | – £20.00 | + £17.72 | £2.28 loss |
So, worst case scenario, we’ll lose £2.29 in qualifying for this early payout offer.
Early payout!
If Hurkacz wins the first set, we need to select the early payout toggle (in the grey section) to tell the calculator that ‘The bookmaker has paid out early‘…
As you can see, our potential profit/loss is as follows, now that Betway have paid out early…
| Outcome | Betway | bet365 | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hurkacz wins | + £42.00 | – £44.29 | £2.29 loss |
| Federer wins | + £42.00 | + £17.72 | £59.72 profit |
So, if we let things run and Hurkacz goes on to win, we’ll still make a loss of £2.29, but if Hurkacz loses, we’ll make a profit of £59.72!
Lock in profit
If we decide to lock in a profit, we’ll need to enter the back odds for Hurkacz to win at a third bookmaker. Let’s say, for example, Hurkacz is odds of 1.50 at BetVictor…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that we need to stake £41.34 on Hurkacz to win at BetVictor…
Place £41.34 on Hubert Hurkacz @ 1.50 = Potential profit of £20.67
Now let’s have a look at our overall potential profit for the possible outcomes…
| Outcome | Betway | bet365 | BetVictor | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurkacz wins | + £42.00 | – £44.29 | + £20.67 | £18.38 profit |
| Federer wins | + £42.00 | + £17.72 | – £41.34 | £18.38 profit |
So, regardless of the outcome, we would make a guaranteed profit of £18.38 on this match!
If eligible, our cash winnings will be credited within 24 hours of the match ending.
* Hubert Hurkacz won the first set and went on to win the match 3-0, resulting in a loss of £2.29 on this Betway offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £90,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.