It’s Alexander Zverev v Dominic Thiem in the US Open Final on Sunday and you don’t want to miss this Betway early payout offer! Simply bet up to £20.00 on Zverev or Thiem to win the match and if our selected player wins the first set, Betway will pay us out as a winner, in cash, no matter the final result! Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £80.80 and here’s how…
Key terms
- Maximum qualifying stake of £20.00.
- Qualifying single bets must be placed on Zverev or Thiem in the Match Winner market.
- Qualifying bets must be placed before the match starts, which is due to be around 16:00 on Sunday 13th September 2020.
- If our selected player wins the first set, Betway will pay our bet out in cash, within 24 hours.
NOTE: Be aware that Betway have different retirement rules to Betfair and Smarkets, which could leave you exposed to a big loss in the event of a retirement. The safest way of doing this offer is dutching your qualifying bet at another bookmaker with the same retirement rules, as explained in this guide.
Qualifying bet
If you’re unfamiliar with early payout offers, please see my bet365 Early Payout (2UP) guide for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Alexander Zverev at odds of 4.20 (16/5). If Zverev wins the first set, Betway will pay our bet out as a winner.
At the time of writing, BetVictor have the best odds for Dominic Thiem at 1.25 (1/4).
We can calculate our stake using the ‘2-Way Dutch‘ setting on my Early Payout Calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us to stake £67.20 on Dominic Thiem…
Place £20.00 on Alexander Zverev @ 4.20 = Potential profit of £64.00
Place £67.20 on Dominic Thiem @ 1.25 = Potential profit of £16.80
No early payout
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss if Zverev doesn’t win the first set…
| Outcome | Betway | BetVictor | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zverev wins | + £64.00 | – £67.20 | £3.20 loss |
| Thiem wins | – £20.00 | + £16.80 | £3.20 loss |
So, worst case scenario, we’ll lose £3.20 in qualifying for this early payout offer.
Early payout!
If Zverev wins the first set, we need to select the early payout toggle (in the grey section) to tell the calculator that ‘The bookmaker has paid out early‘…
As you can see, our potential profit/loss is as follows, now that Betway have paid out early…
| Outcome | Betway | BetVictor | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zverev wins | + £64.00 | – £67.20 | £3.20 loss |
| Thiem wins | + £64.00 | + £16.80 | £80.80 profit |
So, if we let things run and Zverev goes on to win, we’ll still make a loss of £3.20, but if Zverev doesn’t win, we’ll make a profit of £80.80!
Lock in profit
If we decide to lock in a profit, we’ll need to enter the back odds for Zverev to win at a third bookmaker. Let’s say, for example, Zverev is odds of 1.70 at bet365…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that we need to stake £49.41 on Zverev to win at bet365…
Place £49.41 on Alexander Zverev @ 1.70 = Potential profit of £34.59
Now let’s have a look at our overall potential profit for the possible outcomes…
| Outcome | Betway | BetVictor | bet365 | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zverev wins | + £64.00 | – £67.20 | + £34.59 | £31.39 profit |
| Thiem wins | + £64.00 | + £16.80 | – £49.41 | £31.39 profit |
So, regardless of the outcome, we would make a guaranteed profit of £31.39 on this match!
If eligible, our cash winnings will be credited within 24 hours of the match ending.
* Zverev won the first set and went on to lose the match 3-2, resulting in a profit of £80.80 on this Betway offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £90,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.