It’s Barcelona v Man Utd in the Champions League on Tuesday night and you don’t want to miss this Money Back Special from Paddy Power. Simply place a bet on selected markets and if Messi scores, Paddy Power will refund all losing bets as a free bet, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £6.50 and here’s how…
- Qualifying bets must be placed between 17:00 on Friday 12th April 2019 and 20:00 (kick-off) on Tuesday 16th April 2019.
- The eligible markets are First/Last/Anytime Goalscorer, Correct Score and WhatOddsPaddy.
- If our first bet loses and Messi scores, Paddy Power will refund our stake as a free bet, up to £10.00.
If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bet on. Our best option is likely to be the Correct Score market. Ideally, we should select a scoreline that doesn’t see Messi score, but it depends on the odds that are available.
At the time of writing, the lay odds aren’t quite tight enough, so I’ll use fictional lay odds for 1-0 Barcelona (17/2) in the following example and I’ll update the bottom of the post with an actual selection after the match.
We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator.
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
|1-0 Barcelona||+£85.00||-£86.50||£1.50 loss|
|Not 1-0 Barcelona and Messi scores||-£10.00||+£8.50||+£8.00||£6.50 profit|
|Not 1-0 Barcelona and Messi doesn’t score||-£10.00||+£8.50||£1.50 loss|
So, we’ll make a nice profit of £6.50 if Barcelona don’t win 1-0 and Messi scores and we stand to lose £1.50 on any other outcome. Risking £1.50 to make a profit of £6.50, gives us effective odds of 5.33. So, given that Messi is odds of just 1.50 (1/2) to score anytime, this is a profitable offer in the long run.
If eligible, free bets will be credited within two hours of the match ending and will be valid for 7 days on football markets.
If you’re unsure how to extract £8.00 cash (80%) from the £10.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
* ‘2-0 Barcelona’ was available at back odds of 7.50 and lay odds of 8.80. Barcelona won the match 3-0 and Messi scored, resulting in a profit of £6.36 on this Paddy Power offer. *
Click here to take advantage of this Paddy Power offer