Man Utd v Brighton Offer – Betfred

It’s Man Utd v Brighton in the Premier League on Sunday and Betfred are getting in on the action! Simply place a £10.00+ pre-match bet on Man Utd v Brighton and Betfred will give us a £5.00 free bet if Bruno Fernandes scores. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £3.69 and here’s how…

Key terms

  • Applies to single bets placed on Man Utd v Brighton from 12:00 on Saturday 3rd April 2021 until 19:30 (kick-off) on Sunday 4th April 2021.
  • Minimum stake of £10.00.
  • Minimum odds of 1.50 (1/2).
  • £5.00 free bet if Bruno Fernandes scores.

Qualifying bet

If you’d like more information about qualifying bets and how they work, please see my qualifying bets guide.

It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bet on. At the time of writing, Manchester United are available in the Match Result market at back odds of 1.70 (7/10). The lay odds are currently 1.74.

Either exchange works for this offer

Betfair and Smarkets are both great options for this offer. If you’ve not used one of them, now is a great time to give them a try.

  • 2% commission for all new signups
  • 0% commission for 60 days

We can calculate our lay stakes using my Matched Betting Calculator

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.88…

Betfred logo

Place £10.00 on Manchester United @ 1.70 = Potential profit of £7.00

Betfair logo

Lay £9.88 on Man Utd @ 1.74 = Potential liability of £7.31

Outcomes

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

OutcomeBetfredBetfairProfit/Loss
Man Utd win+ £7.00– £7.31£0.31 loss
Man Utd lose or draw– £10.00+ £9.68£0.32 loss

So, regardless of the outcome, we’ll lose a maximum of £0.32 in qualifying for our potential free bet.

Free bet

We’ll receive a £5.00 free bet if Bruno Fernandes scores. Free bets will be credited by 17:00 on Monday 5th April 2021 and will be valid until 09:00 on Tuesday 6th April 2021.

Using straightforward matched betting, we should be able to convert our free bet into 80% cash, so £4.00. If we take into account our minimum qualifying loss of £0.31, this gives us a potential profit of £3.69 on this Betfred offer!

Risking a potential loss of £0.32 to make a potential profit of £3.69 gives us effective odds of 12.53. So, given that Bruno Fernandes is odds of just 2.20 (6/5) to score anytime, this is a profitable offer in the long run.

* Man Utd won the match 2-1 and Fernandes failed to score, resulting in a loss of £0.31 on this Betfred offer. *

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £60,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.