It’s Tottenham v Ajax in the Champions League on Tuesday and you don’t want to miss this Golden Goal offer from William Hill! Simply place a bet on Tottenham or Ajax to win the match and if our selected team scores first, but doesn’t go on to win, William Hill will pay us out as a winner, in cash, up to £50.00! Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £75.03 and here’s how…
Key Terms:
- Promotion available on selected matches from 00:00:01 on 5th January 2019 until 23:59:59 on 1st June 2019.
- Qualifying Single bets must be placed on the 90 Minutes market for Tottenham v Ajax.
- Qualifying bets must be placed before 20:00 (kick-off) on Tuesday 30th April 2019.
Golden Goal Winnings:
Golden Goal winnings will be paid as cash, up to a maximum of £50.00 (plus our stake, or the proportion of our stake that contributed to those winnings).
- If we stake £100 at odds of 1.50 (1/2), we’ll receive £150 in cash (£50 winnings, plus our £100 stake)
- If we stake £100 at odds of 2.00 (evens), we’ll receive £100 in cash (£50 max. winnings, plus the £50 of our stake that contributed to those winnings)
- If we stake £100 at odds of 3.50 (5/2), we’ll receive £70 in cash (£50 max. winnings, plus the £20 of our stake that contributed to those winnings)
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Ajax in the 90 Minutes market.
If Ajax score first and go on to draw or lose the match, our winnings will be paid in cash, up to a maximum of £50.00.
To calculate our back stake, we just need to divide £50.00 by 1.875 (back odds minus 1.00), which gives us £26.67. It’s best that we stick to round numbers when placing our qualifying bet, so we should stake £30.00 instead.
At the time of writing, laying our bet at Smarkets gives us the smallest qualifying loss.
We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £28.94…
Place £30.00 on Ajax @ 2.875 = Potential profit of £56.25
Lay £28.94 on Ajax @ 3.00 = Potential liability of £57.88
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
Outcome | Bookie | Exchange | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|
Ajax score first and win | +£56.25 | -£57.88 | £1.63 loss |
Ajax score first and don’t win | +£46.67 | +£28.36 | £75.03 profit |
Ajax don’t score first and win | +£56.25 | -£57.88 | £1.63 loss |
Ajax don’t score first and don’t win | -£30.00 | +£28.36 | £1.64 loss |
So, if Ajax score first and go on to draw or lose the game, we’ll receive cash winnings of £50.00, plus the £26.67 of our stake that contributed to those winnings, giving us a profit of £46.67 at William Hill. We’ll also win £28.36 from our lay bet at Smarkets, giving us an overall potential profit of £75.03!
Any other outcome and we’ll lose a maximum of £1.64. Risking £1.64 to make a profit of £75.03, gives us effective odds of 46.75, which I’m sure you’ll agree, makes this a profitable offer in the long run.
If eligible, our cash winnings will be credited within 3 hours of the match finishing or by no later than 12:00 on Wednesday 1st May 2019.
Note: If your team scores first, you can either let it run as above or place an extra back bet to lock in a profit. If you decide to guarantee a profit, you just need to divide the sum of your potential loss and potential profit by the back odds. For example, if the back odds are 1.80 (4/5), you would divide £76.66 (£1.63 + £75.03) by 1.80, giving you a back stake of £42.59 and a guaranteed profit of £32.44.
* Ajax scored first and went on to win the match 1-0, resulting in a loss of £1.63 on this William Hill offer. *
More reload offers – Make £300+ per month
With detailed walkthroughs for all the best offers as they’re released, you’ll be bagging recurring profits in no time.
More reload offers
Jon
Guest userHi matt. I can’t work out why you only get £46.67 of winnings when it is up to £50. Should you not get £50?
Matt
1490The winnings are capped at £50.00 Jon and we only get the portion of our stake back that contributed to those winnings.
In the example above, we would receive the maximum of £50.00 instead of the £56.25.
So, if we divide £50.00 by £56.25 and multiply by our £30.00 stake, we get £26.67 of our stake returned.
– £30.00 (stake) + £50.00 (capped winnings) + £26.67 (portion of our stake) = £46.67
David
Guest userHi Matt, could you explain the option where you lay against the next goal and can guarantee profit from this offer
Carling_Mascot
20hi David
I have backed Tottenham on William king at 2.5 for £35 (50 divided by 1.5 which is the back odds minus 1).
Then on Betfair laid Tottenham scoring the next goal at 2.12. If you put back stake of £35, back odds of 2.5 and lay odds of 2.12 in calculator above (change lay commission to 5% for Betfair) it recommends a lay stake of £42.27 and as such a guaranteed win of £5.15.
If Tottenham do not score first but then win then you win both bets so win “big” but otherwise it’s a guaranteed £5.15.
This is using the logic Scott posted on the Man U v Chelsea thread i.e. previous William King post.
Jonty H
Guest userHi Guys,
Just checking, when placing the extra back bet to lock in a profit if your team scores first, do you place this at William Hill?
Thanks
Matt
1490You should place it at another bookmaker or a betting exchange Jonty, wherever you can get the best odds.
Chris
Guest userHi Matt,
I am struggling to get my head around how to guarentee and lock in a profit.
I have backed Ajax £30 at 2.87 and layed with Smarkets for 3.00 matching your guide exacly.
Now that Ajax have scored first I would like to place the extra bet to lock in profit but unsure what the ‘extra bet’ for £42.59 (obviously varies depending on backing bet odds) should be placed on, or if it should be at the bookie or the exchange?
I look forward to your reply.
Matt
1490The extra back bet should be placed on your selected team, the team that have scored the first goal. You can place this extra bet at another bookmaker or at a betting exchange.
Scott
10Sorry it’s a bit late mate, all you need to do is back the team you already backed to win. Your big payout is after they score and they don’t go on to win, so to take some of that profit you use matts maths to back the team some more which covers the opposite outcome of your big payout.
Hope that helps for the future.
Vicky
Guest userYou would place the extra back bet at a different bookmakers