There’s a big day of racing at Lingfield on Thursday and it’s time for another Sky Bet money back offer! If our horse finishes 2nd or 3rd in the 16:45 at Lingfield, Sky Bet will refund our stake as cash, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £9.16 and here’s how…
Key Terms:
- This offer applies to our first bet on the 16:45 at Lingfield.
- Qualifying bets must be placed between 12:00 on Wednesday 21st October 2020 and 16:45 (race-off) on Thursday 22nd October 2020.
- If fewer than seven runners come under starters orders, Sky Bet may withdraw the offer.
- If our horse finishes 2nd or 3rd, Sky Bet will refund our stake as cash, up to £10.00.
Qualifying Bet:
If you’d like more information about qualifying bets and how they work, please see my Qualifying Bets Guide.
It’s entirely up to you which horse you go for, but it would make sense to select a horse with fairly short odds in the hope of a 2nd or 3rd place finish.
At the time of writing, the lay odds aren’t quite tight enough, so I’ll use fictional lay odds for Outonpatrol in the following example and I’ll update the bottom of the post with an actual selection after the race.
At the time of writing, laying our bet with Betfair is likely to give us the smallest qualifying loss.
Betfair are currently offering new customers 0% commission up to £500 for the first 30 days.
If you’re an existing Betfair customer, you can opt in to pay just 2% commission by selecting their Basic reward plan.
For more information about My Betfair Rewards and how to opt in, please see my Betfair 2% Commission page.
We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.35…
Place £10.00 on Outonpatrol @ 4.00 = Potential profit of £30.00
Lay £9.35 on Outonpatrol @ 4.30 = Potential liability of £30.85
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
Outcome | Bookie | Exchange | Cashback | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|
Outonpatrol wins | +£30.00 | -£30.85 | £0.85 loss | |
Outonpatrol finishes 2nd or 3rd | -£10.00 | +£9.16 | +£10.00 | £9.16 profit |
Outonpatrol finishes outside top 3 | -£10.00 | +£9.16 | £0.84 loss |
So, we’ll make a nice profit of £9.16 if Outonpatrol finishes 2nd or 3rd and we stand to lose a maximum of £0.85 on any other outcome. Risking £0.85 to make a profit of £9.16 gives us effective odds of 11.78, which I’m sure you’ll agree, makes this a profitable offer in the long run.
If eligible, cash refunds will be credited within 24 hours of the race finishing.
* Lily The Pink was available at back odds of 7.00 and lay odds of 7.40. Lily The Pink finished 2nd, resulting in a profit of £9.30 on this Sky Bet offer. *
More reload offers – Make £300+ per month
With detailed walkthroughs for all the best offers as they’re released, you’ll be bagging recurring profits in no time.
More reload offers
Boris J
Guest userIs there any way to lock in profit with these offers or is it a case off taking a risk.
Matt
1535You can lay the place too if you wish Boris, for a small guaranteed profit.
In the long run though, there’s more value in taking the small qualifying loss each time.