It’s France v Ireland in the Six Nations 2018 on Saturday and you don’t want to miss this Coral offer. Simply place a £5.00+ win single on France or Ireland to win the match in the 80 minute match market and if any forward scores the first try, Coral will double our winnings up to £50.00, in free bets! Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £32.19 and here’s how…
The Terms:
If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
Qualifying bets must be placed between 00:01 on Friday 2nd February 2018 and 16:45 (kick-off) on Saturday 3rd February 2018, to be eligible.
To qualify, we must place a £5.00+ Single bet on France or Ireland to win in the 80 minute Match Betting market. If a forward scores the first try, Coral will double our winnings in free bets, up to a maximum of £50.00. If eligible, free bets will be credited within 24 hours of our bet being settled and will be valid for 4 days. Free bet stakes are not included in any returns.
Qualifying Bet:
It’s entirely up to you who you place your qualifying bet on. At the time of writing, the lay odds aren’t quite tight enough, so I’ll use fictional odds for France in the following example and I’ll update the bottom of the post with an actual selection after the race.
In order to work out our back stake, we need to divide £50.00 by 2.25 (back odds minus 1.00). This gives us a back stake of £22.22. It’s best that we stick to round numbers when placing our qualifying bet, so we should stake £20.00 instead.
I like to place my exchange lay bets with Betfair as they have great liquidity and the site is really easy to use.
We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £19.40…
Place £20.00 on France @ 3.25 = Potential profit of £45.00
Lay £19.40 on France @ 3.40 = Potential liability of £46.56
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| France win and a forward doesn’t score the first try | + £45.00 – £46.56 = £1.56 loss |
| France win and a forward scores the first try | + £45.00 – £46.56 + £33.75 (75% extracted from £45.00 free bet) = £32.19 profit |
| France don’t win | – £20.00 + £18.43 = £1.57 loss |
So, if France win the match and a forward scores the first try, we’ll make a nice profit of £32.19. Any other outcome and we’ll lose a maximum of £1.57. Risking £1.57 to make a profit of £32.19, gives us effective odds of 21.50, which I’m sure you’ll agree makes this a profitable offer in the long run.
* I was unable to find a suitable qualifying bet, so I decided to give this offer a miss. Ireland won the match 15-13 and a forward didn’t score the first try. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.