Chelsea v Arsenal Offer – Betway

It’s Chelsea v Arsenal in the Premier League on Tuesday night and you don’t want to miss this First Goal Wins offer from Betway! Simply bet up to £20.00 on Chelsea or Arsenal to win the match and if our selected team scores first, Betway will pay us out as a winner, in cash, no matter the final result! Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £84.06 and here’s how…

Key Terms:

  • Maximum qualifying stake of £20.00.
  • Qualifying single bets must be placed on Chelsea or Arsenal in the Win/Draw/Win market.
  • Qualifying bets must be placed before 20:15 (kick-off) on Tuesday 21st January 2020.
  • If our selected team score first but don’t win, Betway will pay our bet out in cash, within 24 hours.

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Arsenal in the Win/Draw/Win market.

If Arsenal score first and go on to draw or lose the match, Betway will pay our bet out as a winner, in cash.

At the time of writing, laying our bet at Betfair gives us the smallest qualifying loss.

Betfair are currently running a great sign up offer where you pay 0% commission up to £500 for the first 30 days…

Banner showing the zero commission sign up offer from Betfair

Banner showing the zero commission sign up offer from Betfair

If you already have a Betfair account, you can opt to pay just 2% commission by selecting the Basic package.

We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £17.76…

Betway logo

Place £20.00 on Arsenal @ 4.333 = Potential profit of £66.66

Betfair logo

Lay £17.76 on Arsenal @ 4.90 = Potential liability of £69.26

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Outcome Bookie Exchange Profit/Loss
Arsenal score first and win +£66.66 -£69.26 £2.60 loss
Arsenal score first and don’t win +£66.66 +£17.40 £84.06 profit
Arsenal don’t score first and win +£66.66 -£69.26 £2.60 loss
Arsenal don’t score first and don’t win -£20.00 +£17.40 £2.60 loss

So, if Arsenal score first and go on to draw or lose the game, we’ll receive cash returns of £86.66, giving us a profit of £66.66 at Betway. We’ll also win £17.40 from our lay bet at Betfair, giving us an overall potential profit of £84.06!

Any other outcome and we’ll lose £2.60. Risking £2.60 to make a profit of £84.06, gives us effective odds of 33.33, which I’m sure you’ll agree, makes this a profitable offer in the long run.

If eligible, our cash winnings will be credited within 24 hours of the match ending.

Note: If your team scores first, you can either let it run as above or place an extra back bet on them to lock in a profit. If you decide to guarantee a profit, you just need to divide the sum of your potential loss and potential profit by the back odds. For example, if the back odds are 1.50 (1/2), you would divide £86.66 (£2.60 + £84.06) by 1.50, giving you a back stake of £57.77 and a guaranteed profit of £26.28.

* Chelsea scored first and went on to draw the match 2-2, resulting in a loss of £2.60 on this Betway offer. *

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.