Chelsea v Liverpool Offer – 10Bet

It’s Chelsea v Liverpool in the Premier League on Sunday and you don’t want to miss this Double Winnings offer from 10Bet. Simply place a £10.00+ pre-match bet on Chelsea or Liverpool to win and if our selected team wins to nil, 10Bet will double our winnings in free bets, up to £20.00! Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £13.32 and here’s how…

The Terms:

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.

To qualify, we must place a £10.00+ pre-match bet on Chelsea or Liverpool in the ‘1X2 FT‘ market. If our selected team wins to nil, 10Bet will double our winnings in free bets.

The maximum free bet is £20.00 per customer and this will be credited within 24 hours of our qualifying bet being settled. Free bets will be valid for 7 days and can be used on any sports market at odds between 1.80 (4/5) and 8.00 (7/1). Free bet stakes are not included in any returns.

Valid on Chelsea v Liverpool only | Min. pre-match bet £10 Chelsea or Liverpool to win | Free Bet credited if your selection wins to nil | Free Bet equal to winnings minus stake | Max. free bet £20 | Withdrawal before free bet is credited results in ineligibility | Terms apply | 18+

Qualifying bet:

It’s entirely up to you which team you place your qualifying bet on. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Chelsea.

In order to work out our back stake, we need to divide £20.00 by 1.25 (back odds minus 1.00). This gives us a back stake of £16.00. It’s best that we stick to round numbers when placing our qualifying bet, so we should stake £15.00 instead.

I like to place my exchange lay bets with Betfair as they have great liquidity and the site is really easy to use. Also, if we opt in, they’re charging just 2% commission on Premier League Match Odds bets in May 2018.

We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £14.55…

10Bet logo

Place £15.00 on Chelsea @ 2.25 = Potential profit of £18.75

Betfair logo

Lay £14.55 on Chelsea @ 2.34 = Potential liability of £19.49

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Chelsea win the match but not to nil + £18.75 – £19.49 = £0.74 loss
Chelsea win the match to nil + £18.75 – £19.49 + £14.06 (75% extracted from £18.75 free bet) = £13.32 profit
Chelsea don’t win the match – £15.00 + £14.25 = £0.75 loss

So, if Chelsea win the match to nil, we’ll make a nice profit of £13.32. Any other outcome and we’ll lose a maximum of £0.75. Risking £0.75 to make a profit of £13.32, gives us effective odds of 18.76. So, given that Chelsea are odds of just 4.333 to win the match to nil, this is a profitable offer in the long run.

* Chelsea won the match 1-0, resulting in a profit of £13.32 on this 10Bet offer. *

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.