It’s Everton v Man Utd in the Premier League on Sunday and you don’t want to miss this Golden Goal offer from William Hill! Simply place a bet on Everton or Man Utd to win the match and if our selected team scores first, but doesn’t go on to win, William Hill will pay us out as a winner, in cash, up to £50.00! Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £86.02 and here’s how…
Key Terms:
- Promotion available on selected matches from 00:00:01 on 5th January 2019 until 23:59:59 on 1st June 2019.
- Qualifying Single bets must be placed on the 90 Minutes market for Everton v Man Utd.
- Qualifying bets must be placed before 13:30 (kick-off) on Sunday 18th April 2019.
Golden Goal Winnings:
Golden Goal winnings will be paid as cash, up to a maximum of £50.00 (plus our stake, or the proportion of our stake that contributed to those winnings).
- If we stake £100 at odds of 1.50 (1/2), we’ll receive £150 in cash (£50 winnings, plus our £100 stake)
- If we stake £100 at odds of 2.00 (evens), we’ll receive £100 in cash (£50 max. winnings, plus the £50 of our stake that contributed to those winnings)
- If we stake £100 at odds of 3.50 (5/2), we’ll receive £70 in cash (£50 max. winnings, plus the £20 of our stake that contributed to those winnings)
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Man Utd in the 90 Minutes market.
If Man Utd score first and go on to draw or lose the match, our winnings will be paid in cash, up to a maximum of £50.00.
To calculate our back stake, we just need to divide £50.00 by 1.30 (back odds minus 1.00), which gives us £38.46. It’s best that we stick to round numbers when placing our qualifying bet, so we should stake £40.00 instead.
At the time of writing, laying our bet at Smarkets gives us the smallest qualifying loss.
We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £38.33…
Place £40.00 on Man Utd @ 2.30 = Potential profit of £52.00
Lay £38.33 on Man Utd @ 2.42 = Potential liability of £54.42
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
Outcome | Bookie | Exchange | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|
Man Utd score first and win | +£52.00 | -£54.42 | £2.42 loss |
Man Utd score first and don’t win | +£48.46 | +£37.56 | £86.02 profit |
Man Utd don’t score first and win | +£52.00 | -£54.42 | £2.42 loss |
Man Utd don’t score first and don’t win | -£40.00 | +£37.56 | £2.44 loss |
So, if Man Utd score first and go on to draw or lose the game, we’ll receive cash winnings of £50.00, plus the £38.46 of our stake that contributed to those winnings, giving us a profit of £48.46 at William Hill. We’ll also win £37.56 from our lay bet at Smarkets, giving us a nice overall profit of £86.02!
Any other outcome and we’ll lose a maximum of £2.44. Risking £2.44 to make a profit of £86.02, gives us effective odds of 36.25, which I’m sure you’ll agree, makes this a profitable offer in the long run.
If eligible, our cash winnings will be credited within 3 hours of the match finishing or by no later than 12:00 on Monday 22nd April 2019.
Note: If your team scores first, you can either let it run as above or place an extra back bet to lock in a profit. If you decide to guarantee a profit, you just need to divide the sum of your potential loss and potential profit by the back odds. For example, if the back odds are 1.80 (4/5), you would divide £88.44 (£2.42 + £86.02) by 1.80, giving you a back stake of £49.13 and a guaranteed profit of £36.88.
* Everton scored first and went on to win the match 4-0, resulting in a loss of £2.44 on this William Hill offer. *
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l
Guest userI don’t see the promotion banner for this one on williamhill like i have in previous weeks. Wondering if this isn’t available for everyone.
Matt
1490The banners aren’t showing yet, but you should see it on their Promotions page.
Fordy
44Fingers crossed for a change of luck with this offer 🙂
Matt
1490Fingers crossed Fordy.
Alex
Guest userGood luck all. I seem to be on the naughty step so I’ve been giving these a miss.
chris
Guest userGood luck. I keep getting on the wrong team every week. Amazing in a two horse run that I have never got the correct team once!
Matt
1490That’s unfortunate Chris. Maybe today is the day!
Fordy
44I’m the same!
Rich
Guest userClose one!
Mark
Guest userSince William Hill started this promotion the Golden Goal has only been paid twice in 18 matches:
Wolves v Liverpool FA Cup ❎
Spurs v Man Utd Premier ❎
Arsenal v Chelsea Premier ❎
Arsenal v Man Utd FA Cup ❎
Cardiff v Bournemouth Premier ❎
Man Utd v PSG Champions league ❎
Liverpool v Bayern Champions league ❎
Man Utd v Liverpool Premier ❎
Chelsea v Spurs Premier ❎
Spurs v Arsenal Premier ✅
Arsenal v Man Utd Premier ❎
Bayern v Liverpool Champions league ❎
Wolves v Man Utd FA Cup ❎
West Ham v Everton Premier ❎
Watford v Wolves FA Cup ✅
Man Utd v Barca Champions league ❎
Watford v Arsenal Premier ❎
Everton v Man Utd Premier ❎
Bob
Guest user18 games in reality is a tiny sample. Its football and on other days could of been more wins on this. I personally cashed out a few winners so I am well up overall. It’s a potential bet not guaranteed putting odds in favour. Tiny risk for big win.
Scott
Guest userInteresting, I personally have been using it as an arb with betfair next goal lay. If you chose the right teams twice you’d have got more out of it than doing the arb for every game, but only once and the arb will have returned more.
Wondering if in the long run the arb is just too safe an option, especially considering it has a big win condition itself, all be it a complete turnaround which doesnt have the draw as part of its win condition. I’m curious (if you can be bothered) did any of the teams in those games concede first but then win? (that is the win condition of the arb big return).
Mark
Guest userThe 2 golden goals were as a result of a draw rather than a complete turnaround.
Dan
Guest userIt depends entirely on what team you bet on Mark. I personally have done pretty well out of it.
If you can I suggest watching the match so you can make a decision after the first goal. I’ve cashed out a few times If my team have scored first if they look like they are going to run riot. Pitiful from Man U today.
Mark
Guest userNo, the above 2 out of 18 list shows that William Hill has only paid out extra twice regardless of which team scores first
Mark
Guest user16 of the 18 games have resulted in the team scoring first going on to win the game