Man City v Liverpool Offer – Bet365

It’s Man City v Liverpool in the Premier League on Sunday and you don’t want to miss this Bet365 free bet offer! Place a pre-match single bet on Man City v Liverpool and Bet365 will give us a free bet equal to our largest pre-match bet, up to £50.00, to use in play. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a guaranteed profit of £34.33 and here’s how…

Key Terms:

  • This offer is invite only, available to customers who have received the promotional email, web message, text message, pop-up or mobile notification.
  • We must place our qualifying bet on Man City v Liverpool before 16:30 (kick-off) on Sunday 8th November 2020.
  • We’ll receive a free bet equal to our largest pre-match stake, up to a maximum of £50.00.
  • The free bet will only become available once the match has kicked off.

Qualifying Bet:

If you’d like more information about qualifying bets and how they work, please see my Qualifying Bets Guide.

We should place our qualifying bet on either team to win as that will also qualify us for Bet365’s 2 Goals Ahead Early Payout Offer, where they’ll pay us out if our selected team goes two goals ahead, regardless of the final result. Early payout offers are well worth a look if you haven’t already!

Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Man City in the Full Time Result market.

At the time of writing, laying our bet at Smarkets gives us the smallest qualifying loss.

If you’re not yet signed up, Smarkets are currently offering a £10.00 welcome bonus for new customers.

Banner showing the £10 welcome bonus offer from Smarkets

Banner showing the £10 welcome bonus offer from Smarkets

We can calculate our lay stake using the ‘Qualifying Bet‘ setting on my matched betting calculator…

Select bet type

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £47.79…

bet365 logo

Place £50.00 on Man City @ 1.95 = Potential profit of £47.50

Smarkets logo

Lay £47.79 on Man City @ 2.06 = Potential liability of £50.65

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Outcome Bookie Exchange Profit/Loss
Man City win + £47.50 – £50.65 £3.15 loss
Man City don’t win – £50.00 + £46.83 £3.17 loss

So, regardless of the outcome, we’ll lose a maximum of £3.17 in qualifying for our £50.00 free bet.

Free Bet:

Our £50.00 free bet will only become available once the match starts and must be used in play. Free bet stakes are not included in any returns.

If you’re unsure how to convert free bets into cash, please see my Free Bets Guide for a walkthrough of how it should be done.

It’s impossible to know what odds will be available until the match has kicked off, but we should be aiming to convert our £50.00 free bet into around 75% cash, so £37.50.

I’ll use fictional odds for 2-1 Man City in the following example to give you an idea of how things should pan out.

We can calculate our lay stake using the ‘Free Bet‘ setting on my matched betting calculator…

Select bet type

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £38.34…

bet365 logo

Place £50.00 on 2-1 Man City @ 8.50 = Potential profit of £375.00

Smarkets logo

Lay £38.34 on 2-1 Man City @ 9.80 = Potential liability of £337.39

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Outcome Bookie Exchange Profit/Loss
2-1 Man City + £375.00 – £337.39 £37.61 profit
Not 2-1 Man City – Free bet + £37.57 £37.57 profit

So, with some decent odds, we’ll convert our £50.00 free bet into around £37.50 cash.

If we take into account our maximum qualifying loss of £3.17, this gives us a guaranteed profit of £34.33 on this Bet365 offer!

* The match was drawn 1-1, resulting in a profit of £34.33 on this Bet365 offer. *

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.