Southampton v West Ham Offer – Betway

It’s Southampton v West Ham in Saturday’s late kick-off and you don’t want to miss this First Goal Wins offer from Betway! Simply bet up to £20.00 on Southampton or West Ham to win the match and if our selected team scores first, Betway will pay us out as a winner, in cash, no matter the final result! Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £74.25 and here’s how…

Key Terms:

  • Maximum qualifying stake of £20.00.
  • Qualifying single bets must be placed on Southampton or West Ham in the Win/Draw/Win market.
  • Qualifying bets must be placed before 17:30 (kick-off) on Saturday 14th December 2019.
  • If our selected team score first but don’t win, Betway will pay our bet out in cash, within 24 hours.

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on West Ham in the Win/Draw/Win market.

If West Ham score first and go on to draw or lose the match, Betway will pay our bet out as a winner, in cash.

At the time of writing, laying our bet at Smarkets gives us the smallest qualifying loss.

We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £18.63…

Betway logo

Place £20.00 on West Ham @ 3.80 = Potential profit of £56.00

Smarkets logo

Lay £18.63 on West Ham @ 4.10 = Potential liability of £57.75

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Outcome Bookie Exchange Profit/Loss
West Ham score first and win +£56.00 -£57.75 £1.75 loss
West Ham score first and don’t win +£56.00 +£18.25 £74.25 profit
West Ham don’t score first and win +£56.00 -£57.75 £1.75 loss
West Ham don’t score first and don’t win -£20.00 +£18.25 £1.75 loss

So, if West Ham score first and go on to draw or lose the game, we’ll receive cash returns of £76.00, giving us a profit of £56.00 at Betway. We’ll also win £18.25 from our lay bet at Smarkets, giving us an overall potential profit of £74.25!

Any other outcome and we’ll lose £1.75. Risking £1.75 to make a profit of £74.25, gives us effective odds of 43.43, which I’m sure you’ll agree, makes this a profitable offer in the long run.

If eligible, our cash winnings will be credited within 24 hours of the match ending.

Note: If your team scores first, you can either let it run as above or place an extra back bet on them to lock in a profit. If you decide to guarantee a profit, you just need to divide the sum of your potential loss and potential profit by the back odds. For example, if the back odds are 1.50 (1/2), you would divide £76.00 (£1.75 + £74.25) by 1.50, giving you a back stake of £50.67 and a guaranteed profit of £23.58.

* West Ham scored first and went on to win the match 1-0, resulting in a loss of £1.75 on this Betway offer. *

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.