£70.58
Potential Profit
£-2.13
Actual Profit

Wolves v Man Utd Offer – William Hill


Posted by Matt (administrator) Matt
Start Time: 16/03/2019 19:55

It’s Wolves v Man Utd in the FA Cup Quarter-Finals on Saturday and you don’t want to miss this Golden Goal offer from William Hill! Simply place a bet on Wolves or Man Utd to win the match and if our selected team scores first, but doesn’t go on to win, William Hill will pay us out as a winner, in cash, up to £50.00! Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £70.58 and here’s how…

Banner showing the Wolves v Man Utd offer from William Hill

Key Terms:

  • Promotion available on selected matches from 00:00:01 on 5th January 2019 until 23:59:59 on 1st June 2019.
  • Qualifying Single bets must be placed on the 90 Minutes market for Wolves v Man Utd.
  • Qualifying bets must be placed before 19:55 (kick-off) on Saturday 16th March 2019.

Golden Goal Winnings:

Golden Goal winnings will be paid as cash, up to a maximum of £50.00 (plus our stake, or the proportion of our stake that contributed to those winnings).

  • If we stake £100 at odds of 1.50 (1/2), we’ll receive £150 in cash (£50 winnings, plus our £100 stake)
  • If we stake £100 at odds of 2.00 (evens), we’ll receive £100 in cash (£50 max. winnings, plus the £50 of our stake that contributed to those winnings)
  • If we stake £100 at odds of 3.50 (5/2), we’ll receive £70 in cash (£50 max. winnings, plus the £20 of our stake that contributed to those winnings)

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Wolves in the 90 Minutes market.

If Wolves score first and go on to draw or lose the match, our winnings will be paid in cash, up to a maximum of £50.00.

To calculate our back stake, we just need to divide £50.00 by 2.20 (back odds minus 1.00), which gives us £22.73. It’s best that we stick to round numbers when placing our qualifying bet, so we should stake £25.00 instead.

At the time of writing, laying our bet at Smarkets gives us the smallest qualifying loss.

We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £

Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £23.32…

William Hill logo

Place £25.00 on Wolves @ 3.20 = Potential profit of £55.00

Smarkets logo

Lay £23.32 on Wolves @ 3.45 = Potential liability of £57.13

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

OutcomeBookieExchangeProfit/Loss
Wolves score first and win+£55.00-£57.13£2.13 loss
Wolves score first and don't win+£47.73+£22.85£70.58 profit
Wolves don't score first and win+£55.00-£57.13£2.13 loss
Wolves don't score first and don't win-£25.00+£22.85£2.15 loss

So, if Wolves score first and go on to draw or lose the game, we’ll receive cash winnings of £50.00, plus the £22.73 of our stake that contributed to those winnings, giving us a profit of £47.73 at William Hill. We’ll also win £22.85 from our lay bet at Smarkets, giving us a nice overall profit of £70.58!

Any other outcome and we’ll lose a maximum of £2.15. Risking £2.15 to make a profit of £70.58, gives us effective odds of 33.83, which I’m sure you’ll agree, makes this a profitable offer in the long run.

If eligible, our cash winnings will be credited within 2 hours of the match finishing or by 12:00 on Sunday 17th March 2019.

Note: If your team scores first, you can either let it run as above or place an extra back bet to lock in a profit. If you decide to guarantee a profit, you just need to divide the sum of your potential loss and potential profit by the back odds. For example, if the back odds are 1.80 (4/5), you would divide £72.71 (£2.13 + £70.58) by 1.80, giving you a back stake of £40.39 and a guaranteed profit of £30.18.

* See my Football Offers page for a full list of available football offers! *

* Wolves scored first and went on to win the match 2-1, resulting in a loss of £2.13 on this William Hill offer. *

Comments


  1. Simon j

    Guest user

    If i used my £30 free william hill bet on this, using the totals on your free bet calculator , could i be quids in?

    +0
    Reply
    1. Matt

      104

      Free bets count towards the offer Simon, but I would advise placing it separately. I’m not sure it would look great if you signed up and then placed your £30.00 free bet straight on one of their big offers.

      +1
      Reply
  2. Bob

    Guest user

    There’s a free bet offer for tonights league one game with MoPlay bet £10 get £5 free bet, might be a little too late I’ve only just seen it myself, kicks off in 20 minutes. Couldn’t see it on your site, thought it might help someone.

    +0
    Reply
    1. Matt

      104

      Thanks for the heads up Bob.

      +1
      Reply
  3. JP

    Guest user

    Being new to all of this – would it still work if I backed £15 and used the calculator accordingly based on that amount? I have 15 left in William Hills.

    +0
    Reply
    1. Matt

      104

      Yes absolutely JP, £15.00 works.

      +0
      Reply
      1. JP

        Guest user

        Thanks

        +0
        Reply
  4. u6c00

    1

    I made a google spreadsheet which automates all the calculations, is it ok to share it here?

    +0
    Reply
  5. Sid

    Guest user

    All these offers from Billies and only one win from this strategy. Banked £17.90, less than the £20 average, with the usual strategy

    +0
    Reply
    1. Bob

      Guest user

      If man u had scored the first goal in 90th min then what would happen with your strategy?

      +0
      Reply
    2. Matt

      104

      Well played Sid.

      +0
      Reply
    3. Jamie

      Guest user

      Sid what would happen if your team scores very late? A few people have asked you that over the weeks and you’ve not responded. If that happens you lose your betfair first goal lay bet and you’ll only get pennies from cashing out your initial lay on your selected team, leaving you with a loss.

      +0
      Reply
  6. Alex

    Guest user

    Followed your advice Sid, and made a loss due to the 2 goals in quick succession so late in the game. I only wanted to cover my qualifying losses but only managed to multiply them.

    +0
    Reply
    1. Bob

      Guest user

      In fairness you should have backed man u if you were using sids strat and would have won

      +0
      Reply
  7. Alex

    Guest user

    Worse still, one of my exchange bets has completely disappeared, leaving me seriously out of pocket, and who knows, I may now be gubbed. I placed a first goalscorer bet a lot earlier for something else and forgot all about it. I probably looked like I was backing all possibilities.

    +0
    Reply
  8. Alex

    Guest user

    I guess what I’m saying is that Sid makes out his method is straightforward and can’t fail, but complicating things brings its own problems, especially when people are not very experienced.

    +0
    Reply
    1. Bob

      Guest user

      I agree it does that’s why I don’t do it but he did say back the fav team. I like to keep it pretty simple and enjoy the match. Hope you aren’t down too much we all make mistakes just so long as up in the long run.

      +0
      Reply
  9. Alex

    Guest user

    That was in reply to Bob.

    +0
    Reply
  10. Chris

    Guest user

    I normally do what Matt says (extra back bet) in the post to lock in a profit, normally making between 20 and 40 pound depending on time of goal.

    Unfortunately I was out and a few pints in when wolves scored so wasn’t quick enough with the workings out to get it on,would have been about 15 pound.

    and to add insult to injury I’d forgotten to put the paddy power if rashford scores bet on and was thinking at least I’ve not lost money on that, then he scores in the last minute

    +0
    Reply
  11. Mark

    Guest user

    I’ve noticed that golden goal has vanished from the promotions page on WH, I’d be surprised if they’ve pulled the offer given the fact they’ve only paid out the extra once in the 13 matches.

    +0
    Reply
    1. Matt

      104

      We’ve got an international break now Mark, so they’ve probably just removed it until the next match is announced. Not sure if they’d run it on a game like England v Czech Republic on Friday or whether they’ll wait until domestic football returns.

      +0
      Reply

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