The Goodwood Festival 2019 gets underway on Tuesday and you don’t want to miss this Bet365 offer! Simply back a winner at 4/1 or more in any live ITV race and Bet365 will give us a risk-free bet equal to our stake, up to a maximum of £50.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us an overall potential profit of £100.00+ and here’s how…
Key Terms:
- Offer applies to first win or each way single bet placed on each race shown live on ITV.
- If our horse wins, we’ll qualify for a risk-free bet to the same stake, up to £50.00, on the next ITV race.
- Risk-free bets must be placed using our own funds and if it loses, Bet365 will refund our stake in cash.
Qualifying Bets:
This offer is available on the 13:50, 14:25, 15:00 and 15:35 each day of the Goodwood Festival 2019, which runs from Tuesday 30th July 2019 to Saturday 3rd August 2019.
If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
We have the option to overlay our bets for a small guaranteed profit. We can simply add 0.75 to our back odds when entering them into the calculator as we would expect to extract 75% cash from a risk-free bet, should our horse win.
The guaranteed profits are a little on the small side though, so it may be best to just lay our bets normally and hope a couple of our horses win.
The back and lay odds should tighten up as the start of each race draws nearer. In the meantime though, I’ll use fictional lay odds for Setting Sail in the 13:50 at Goodwood on Tuesday to illustrate how this offer should be done. I’ll update the table at the bottom of the post with some actual selections at the end of each day.
At the time of writing, laying our bet at Smarkets is likely to give us the smallest qualifying loss.
We can calculate our stake using my matched betting calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £48.26…
Place £50.00 on Setting Sail @ 5.00 = Potential profit of £200.00
Lay £48.26 on Setting Sail @ 5.20 = Potential liability of £202.69
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
Outcome | Bookie | Exchange | Extracted | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|
Setting Sail wins | +£200.00 | -£202.69 | +£37.50 | £34.81 profit |
Setting Sail doesn’t win | -£50.00 | +£47.29 | £2.71 loss |
So, we’ll make a nice profit of £34.81 if Setting Sail wins, otherwise we’ll lose £2.71. Risking £2.71 to make a profit of £34.81 gives us effective odds of 13.85. So, given that Setting Sail is odds of just 5.00 (4/1) to win the race, this is a profitable offer in the long run.
This offer is available on 20 races across the five days of the Goodwood Festival 2019, giving us an overall potential profit of £100.00+ on this Bet365 offer!
If any of our selections win, our risk-free bet will be valid on the very next ITV race. We must place our risk-free bets using our own funds and if our selection loses, Bet365 will refund our stake in cash, up to a maximum of £50.00. If our risk-free bet wins, we’ll qualify for another risk-free bet on the next ITV race.
If you’re unsure how to extract £37.50 cash (75%) from a £50.00 risk-free bet, check out my Risk-Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
I’ll update the following table with some actual selections at the end of each day…
Race | Selection | Back Odds | Lay Odds | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|
14:25 Tuesday | Lope Y Fernandez | 6.50 | 6.60 | -£1.60 |
15:35 Wednesday | Circus Maximus | 5.50 | 5.80 | -£3.38 |
13:50 Thursday | Sinjaari | 5.50 | 5.70 | -£2.55 |
14:25 Saturday | Desert Skyline | 10.00 | 9.80 | +£0.09 |
15:40 Saturday | Khaadem | 6.50 | 6.80 | +£34.45 * |
Total: | +£27.01 |
Note: ITV are also covering the 14:05 and 14:40 at Newmarket on Saturday 3rd August 2019.
* Khaadem won the 15:40 on Saturday, resulting in a qualifying loss of £3.05 and a risk-free bet on the next ITV Racing 4/1 offer race. The expected forthcoming profit of £37.50, results in an overall profit of £34.45. *
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Parade99
11Can I just check what happens if you place qualifying bets on the 13.50 & 14.25, both win, and also your risk-free bet on the 14.25 wins.
Do you then have 2 risk free bets on the 15:00?
Marv
Guest userThe initial bet you placed on the 14:25 will be regarded as the risk free bet. If possible, it is advisable to do this offer one race at a time so you know how much to lay on the next race if your qualifying bet wins.
Parade99
11Thank you.
Richard B
Guest userWhat do we enter into the cash back field of the risk free bet calculator?
Thanks in advance!
Fordy
44Your risk free bet stake, as you would receive all of it back should it lose.
Stuart b
Guest userAfter your 4/1 horse has won and you have made small ql loss, can you not just back your horse risk free in next race and not lay it, if loses get 50 refund minus ql on previous race if wins you get your returns at bet365 and no money taken out exchange?
Fordy
44Sure you can.
The laying aspect is just to guarantee an 80% profit from your original stake.
A matter of preference about which way you go about it. 🙂
Stuart b
Guest userOk thanks for reply think I understand now 👍