Goodwood Festival 2019 Offer – Bet365

The Goodwood Festival 2019 gets underway on Tuesday and you don’t want to miss this Bet365 offer! Simply back a winner at 4/1 or more in any live ITV race and Bet365 will give us a risk-free bet equal to our stake, up to a maximum of £50.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us an overall potential profit of £100.00+ and here’s how…

Key Terms:

  • Offer applies to first win or each way single bet placed on each race shown live on ITV.
  • If our horse wins, we’ll qualify for a risk-free bet to the same stake, up to £50.00, on the next ITV race.
  • Risk-free bets must be placed using our own funds and if it loses, Bet365 will refund our stake in cash.

Qualifying Bets:

This offer is available on the 13:50, 14:25, 15:00 and 15:35 each day of the Goodwood Festival 2019, which runs from Tuesday 30th July 2019 to Saturday 3rd August 2019.

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

We have the option to overlay our bets for a small guaranteed profit. We can simply add 0.75 to our back odds when entering them into the calculator as we would expect to extract 75% cash from a risk-free bet, should our horse win.

The guaranteed profits are a little on the small side though, so it may be best to just lay our bets normally and hope a couple of our horses win.

The back and lay odds should tighten up as the start of each race draws nearer. In the meantime though, I’ll use fictional lay odds for Setting Sail in the 13:50 at Goodwood on Tuesday to illustrate how this offer should be done. I’ll update the table at the bottom of the post with some actual selections at the end of each day.

At the time of writing, laying our bet at Smarkets is likely to give us the smallest qualifying loss.

We can calculate our stake using my matched betting calculator…

Select bet type

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £48.26…

bet365 logo

Place £50.00 on Setting Sail @ 5.00 = Potential profit of £200.00

Smarkets logo

Lay £48.26 on Setting Sail @ 5.20 = Potential liability of £202.69

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Outcome Bookie Exchange Extracted Profit/Loss
Setting Sail wins +£200.00 -£202.69 +£37.50 £34.81 profit
Setting Sail doesn’t win -£50.00 +£47.29 £2.71 loss

So, we’ll make a nice profit of £34.81 if Setting Sail wins, otherwise we’ll lose £2.71. Risking £2.71 to make a profit of £34.81 gives us effective odds of 13.85. So, given that Setting Sail is odds of just 5.00 (4/1) to win the race, this is a profitable offer in the long run.

This offer is available on 20 races across the five days of the Goodwood Festival 2019, giving us an overall potential profit of £100.00+ on this Bet365 offer!

If any of our selections win, our risk-free bet will be valid on the very next ITV race. We must place our risk-free bets using our own funds and if our selection loses, Bet365 will refund our stake in cash, up to a maximum of £50.00. If our risk-free bet wins, we’ll qualify for another risk-free bet on the next ITV race.

If you’re unsure how to extract £37.50 cash (75%) from a £50.00 risk-free bet, check out my Risk-Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

I’ll update the following table with some actual selections at the end of each day…

Race Selection Back Odds Lay Odds Profit/Loss
14:25 Tuesday Lope Y Fernandez 6.50 6.60 -£1.60
15:35 Wednesday Circus Maximus 5.50 5.80 -£3.38
13:50 Thursday Sinjaari 5.50 5.70 -£2.55
14:25 Saturday Desert Skyline 10.00 9.80 +£0.09
15:40 Saturday Khaadem 6.50 6.80 +£34.45 *
Total: +£27.01

Note: ITV are also covering the 14:05 and 14:40 at Newmarket on Saturday 3rd August 2019.

* Khaadem won the 15:40 on Saturday, resulting in a qualifying loss of £3.05 and a risk-free bet on the next ITV Racing 4/1 offer race. The expected forthcoming profit of £37.50, results in an overall profit of £34.45. *

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.