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ITV Racing 15 to Go Offer – Unibet

There’s a big schedule of ITV Racing on Boxing Day and you don’t want to miss this Unibet ’15 to Go’ offer! Simply bet on selected ITV races in the 15 minutes before the scheduled start time and if we back the winner, Unibet will match our stake with a free bet, up to £20.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £25.00+ and here’s how…

Key Terms:

  • Minimum stake of £5.00.
  • Qualifying bets must be placed on the selected ITV races in the 15 minutes before the scheduled start time.
  • Qualifying bets must be placed at odds of 2.00 (evens) or greater.
  • To be eligible, we must click the ’15 to Go’ button that appears on our betslip after entering our stake.
  • If our selected horse wins, Unibet will match our stake as a free bet, up to £20.00.

Qualifying Bets:

The Unibet ’15 to Go’ promotion is very similar to the Bet365 4/1 offer.

If you’d like more information about qualifying bets and how they work, please see my qualifying bets guide.

This offer is available on the following five ITV races on Saturday 26th December 2020…

13:15, 13:50, 14:25 and 15:00 Kempton
14:05 Wetherby

It’s entirely up to you which horses you place your qualifying bets on, though we won’t know what odds are available until 15 minutes before the off.

Shan Blue is favourite to win the 13:50 at Kempton at back odds of 2.875 (15/8). I’ll use lay odds of 3.05 to illustrate how this offer works and I’ll update the table at the bottom of the post with some genuine selections at the end of the day.

Either exchange works for this offer

Betfair and Smarkets are both great options for this offer. If you’ve not used one of them, now is a great time to give them a try.

  • 2% commission for all new signups
  • 0% commission for 60 days

Option 1:

We know that if our horse wins, we’ll be able to convert our £20.00 free bet into 80% cash. We can therefore add 0.80 to the back odds to get our effective odds…

3.05 + 0.80 = 3.85

Using my Matched Betting Calculator, we simply enter 3.85 as our back odds instead of 3.05 and lay the amount shown. Overlaying like this is fine, but the guaranteed profits are likely to be small.

Option 2:

Our second option is to lay our bets as normal and hope some of our horses win for bigger profits.

We can calculate our lay stake using my Matched Betting Calculator

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £18.98…

Unibet logo

Place £20.00 on Shan Blue @ 2.875 = Potential profit of £37.50

Betfair logo

Lay £18.98 on Shan Blue @ 3.05 = Potential liability of £38.90

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

OutcomeUnibetBetfairFree BetProfit/Loss
Shan Blue wins+ £37.50– £38.90+ £16.00£14.60 profit
Shan Blue loses– £20.00+ £18.60£1.40 loss

So, we’ll make a nice profit of £14.60 if Shan Blue wins, otherwise we’ll lose £1.40. Risking £1.40 to make a potential profit of £14.60 gives us effective odds of 11.43. So, given that Shan Blue is odds of just 2.875 (15/8) to win the race, this is a profitable offer in the long run.

This offer is available on five ITV races on Boxing Day, giving us an overall potential profit of £25.00+ on this Unibet ’15 to Go’ offer!

If eligible, free bets will be credited within 2 hours of the weigh-in and will be valid on horse racing for 7 days. Free bet stakes are not included in any returns.

If you’re unsure how to convert your £20.00 free bets into £16.00 cash (80%), please see my free bets guide for a walkthrough of how it should be done.

I’ll update the following table with some actual selections after the races…

RaceSelectionBack OddsLay OddsProfit/Loss
13:50 KemptonShan Blue2.753.00£14.08 profit
14:05 WetherbySnow Leopardess4.504.90£1.93 loss
15:00 KemptonClan Des Obeaux3.1253.40£1.88 loss

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £60,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.