Bet365 4/1 offer strategies

I would be really interested to hear about the different approaches people use to tackle the 4/1 horse offer on bet365! Personally I just try and lay whatever I can get the tightest match on the exchange with.

Typically I will back a horse and 5.0 and lay it for 5.2 using 50 pound stakes. This gives me a qualifying loss of 10 pounds if the horse wins, I can then extract around 45 from the free bet, so Im making about 30-35 pounds on horses that range from 4/1 to 8/1 and this is at a rough cost of 2 pounds commission whenever the horses dont win.

So were essentially risking 2 pounds to win 35 on horses that are an average price of about 6/1. Im no maths wiz but I assume this equates to about 4 pounds equity per race per account. and theres 20 races a week!

Ive heard about people that have multiple accounts as well? Would be interesting to know how much people are making from this generous offer…

+0

peck1996
0

May 25, 2016 at 11:22 pm

New to matched betting?

My Matched Betting Academy is the best place to get started. Learning the fundamentals takes 10-15 minutes and you’ll make £15 in the process.

Learning the fundamentals takes 10-15 minutes and you’ll make £15 in the process.

Learn Matched Betting

BKK Farang 3 May 25, 2016 at 11:36 pm

How often do you win on the Bet365 4/1 offers? At present I’ve got one account with them, but I’m going to do two more.

+0

Johnson 4 May 25, 2016 at 11:46 pm

When I bet on these offers at odds of about 5, i actually LOSE 80% of the time!!!

It’s a conspiracy, so stay well clear.

Sayonara

+0

BKK Farang 3 May 25, 2016 at 11:49 pm

I can believe that, I watched a lot of horse races in the last two months and today was a classic example. A hot favourite at 2.36 came in 5th, all fixed horse racing.

+0

peck1996 0 May 26, 2016 at 12:27 am

lol Johnson! fortunately for you, your in profit until your losing 95% of the time 🙂 Although im sure your be sarcastic

+0

feltt1p 6 May 26, 2016 at 12:28 am

No Bamboo! ‘Its a trap!’

Read Johnson’s message again, c’mon

+0

BKK Farang 3 May 26, 2016 at 12:35 am

I have read again, it depends if you take it as losing as being not winning the free bet. 80% would 5 free bets out of 20 races.

Anyway horse racing is fixed, I watched 5 races today, the favourite didn’t win once. If you have 5 favourites in football, maybe 3/5 would win, a draw and a defeat.

+0

Johnson 4 May 26, 2016 at 1:04 am

Think about it though, it must be at least a little bit of a conspiracy.

BET365 choose the races you can bet on for the promotion.

BET365 choose the horses you can bet on. Usually in a 9/10 horse race only 1 or 2 horses will be worth it, e.g. slightly above 5.0 but not too much.

And if they wanted to they could always limit how good your qualifying loss was by eating up all the liquidity at the exchange (of which 90% goes through one, Betfair!)

Start to think it through and you’ll put the pieces together. No wonder so many good priced horses in these promotions end up losing!!

Johnson over and out

+0
Get regular offer updates, tip and tricks, big offer alerts and more straight to your inbox.

Δ

Email*

CAPTCHA
Gman 4 May 26, 2016 at 1:23 am

Its a good offer but you’ll likely get gubbed if you do every race for the full £50. good idea to be selective about the races you do bet on, and mix up your stakes. my preference is to combine the offer when another bookie has a 2nd or 3rd place offer, that way you can cover the 1st 3 places and profit.
I tend to not bother too much with the feature races, focus on the channel 4 races instead.

+0

BKK Farang 3 May 26, 2016 at 1:44 am

I only done one of them, might have a look today. Although they gave me a £5 bonus free bet yesterday, not sure why, I had done 15 £1 bets on short odds on football matches in the last 2 days testing out a tipster.

+0

BKK Farang 3 May 26, 2016 at 1:54 am

Artificially increasing the odds on a favourite, then its comes in not in the top 3, nearly everyone backs the favourite and loses! Thats why betting is a mugs game, bookies win. Match bet their offers and win in the exchange is the best way.

+0

pbetts 2 May 26, 2016 at 7:23 am

Bamboo, bamboo, where far ang thou bamboo

+0

dingodollar 8 May 26, 2016 at 12:18 pm

I think this is a great offer especially with the overlay.They are obviously trying to reduce the liability on the heavy favourites.I bagged 7 winners last week somehow think I hit 3 on the bounce on Saturday.great offer that doesn’t cost anything!

+0

Flintstone 0 May 26, 2016 at 2:23 pm

I usually pick a horse I fancy and overlay a touch. I’m currently playing through the startup up offer and low and behold I’m having my best ever run since my Betfair gubbing. I’d be £500 up if I was not MB’ing. My exchange account is wittling away mind.

+0

Pavlon 3 May 26, 2016 at 4:31 pm

I was doing this since January, hitting all Saturday races and a few races a week. I always layed £51.02 to make it zero risk, and only went for horses when the lay was very tight. I won a shit tonne of these, but got greedy in the end and nailed it for a week. My bets were then heavily restricted, to the point where it’s just not worth my while anymore. Real shame, and real kick in the nuts.

+0

jimkeegan 0 May 27, 2016 at 1:28 am

Gman, out of interest when you say –

“my preference is to combine the offer when another bookie has a 2nd or 3rd place offer, that way you can cover the 1st 3 places and profit”

What do you mean – Im not sure exactly how you could combine the offers?

Thanks! Jim

+0