Friday 8 January – Enhanced odds and good spots…

Quiet morning in the office, so I am just looking for any opportunities and thought I would start this thread for others to post anything they find today.

Couple to keep an eye on for now…

William Hill – PSG to win by 4 or more enhanced to 4.0 (v3.8 lay [PSG -3] on Betfair just now, but should reduce to nearer 3.5)

Paddy Power – Man City/Man U/West Ham all to win boosted to 5.0 (no lay yet, but the acca markets are on Betfair, just need to wait for them to add this combo)

I should add, all the things I post will have been found on bookie iPhone apps, in case they are mobile specific.

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Tony
13

January 8, 2016 at 10:30 am

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Tony S 8 January 8, 2016 at 11:29 am

Ya could actually lay the City/West ham/ Chelsea treble @4.7

United don’t kick off until late

Very small margin at current odds and you’d have to lay United off should the treble land but there’s also a chance of winning both bets should Chelsea slip up…

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mike j 12 January 8, 2016 at 12:24 pm

Bet 365 4/1 offer. Favourite is currently running at 5.50 decimal. Underlay later to secure zero loss/or good profit

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aNtis0ciaL 14 January 8, 2016 at 1:06 pm

Do you mind explaining that one please Mike?

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mike j 12 January 8, 2016 at 1:07 pm

Why has this topic been reported for inappropriate content?

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Tony 13 January 8, 2016 at 1:17 pm

I suspect someone has pressed Report instead of Reply? LOL

Which race were you on about there Mike? Your post wasn’t exactly detail-heavy! haha 😀

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mike j 12 January 8, 2016 at 1:18 pm

Yeah i can explain antisocial.

englishwoman is the favourite to win the 17.45 at wolverhampton. Its on the feature races for the day at 365. This means if you back a winner at 4/1 or greater you will get a £50 free bet.

Current back odds are 5.5. lay odds are 7

If we back for £50 and underlay for £37.50. If the horse wins we lose £13.50 but will get a free £50 bet for the next feature race (6.45 wolverhampton) If the horse looses then we break even (- the commission) but our money transfers to the exchange

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Ice Magic 5 January 8, 2016 at 1:19 pm

Wolverhamton 17:45

Back a winner at 4/1 or higher and you get a risk free bet on the next offer race

I have chosen Intimately. Backed at 6 and laid at 6.2. Cost £3.66 to do but the spoils are good if it wins

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Ice Magic 5 January 8, 2016 at 1:21 pm

Mike you’ve done it the wrong way round?
If the horse doesn’t win you lose £13.50

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Ice Magic 5 January 8, 2016 at 1:23 pm

To do what you are suggesting you would have to lay £52.63 which would mean £0 if the horse didn’t win, But you’d lose £90.78 if it did!

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mike j 12 January 8, 2016 at 1:26 pm

Good spot ice magic, I’ve already placed the lay bet as well, time for some recalculating.

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Tony 13 January 8, 2016 at 1:29 pm

Why did you go for Intimately, out of interest? Judgement/opinion, or just as the odds were close? I am trying to learn more about selecting the “right” horses for these kind of offers and the 2nd place offers too.

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mike j 12 January 8, 2016 at 1:30 pm

i normally try to find the line in between the over lay and standard back/lay depending on the odds, went the wrong way this time

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Tony 13 January 8, 2016 at 1:30 pm

You placed the lay bet first?

If so and provided the odds haven’t moved dramatically, then just back out of the lay by backing it at the exchange for a small ‘let that be a lesson to you’ loss?

edit – you are you using a calculator to determine these “middle ground” under/over lay sweet spots right?

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mike j 12 January 8, 2016 at 1:44 pm

already done the back as well, yeah, i use an online calculator which has a slider so you can adjust to show potential profit/loss

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aNtis0ciaL 14 January 8, 2016 at 1:46 pm

For the under/overlay calculations I think https://www.oddsmonkey.com/Calculator.aspx this can be used in advanced mode

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