New Bet365 Offer….Any Good?

For what it’s worth 2 up is worth it. Today for example I had 40 on wba at 11/11. Costs 80p for a shot at 440 which is effective odds of 550/1.

Yes it is really unlikely to hit but with 380 premier league games in a season all it takes is one to hit and your laughing.

I don’t go playing for it but will merely check odds throughout the day and if it is only going to cost 1-2 quid max for a chance of winning a few hundred then I’ll always have a go for excitement as well as it being a good investment.

Betman, that’s a very blinkered and parochial view you have there… at least that’s my opinion. So nobody can make money betting unless they do it your way and or use the exchange, because that’s what you are saying? You obviously didn’t read my post correctly then on the other thread where you were referring to dutching. I know how to dutch and I’ve been betting since 1994, but like I said on there, I haven’t been using the exchange to lay outcomes I’ve been using ‘back’ and all I was doing was asking about the value of a specific lay bet. So, yes you can make money by not laying or finding +% arbs. I’m not lying so please don’t accuse me of doing so just because that’s what you’d like to believe. To be honest I used the wrong word to describe your ‘not another one’ line. My post was not even directed at you, your comment was condescending and troll like, however, as I said to Ryan, he had a fair point about the risk, but… all I was saying was that if he sees £5 as a big risk for a potential £495 upside then I don’t, And I don’t have to apologise to anyone for that – not in my opinion. This is a forum not a court room. My point was not to rub anyone’s nose in anything, but to illustrate that I do speculate but minimise my risk at the same time. I’m not interested in finding Arbs unless they fit with my system of betting, because I’m doing very nicely thanks.

Another blind and uninformed comment.

I’ve covered Liverpool Win £500 – I’ve covered Leics Win (£500) on 365 and I’ve backed the draw On the Exchange – I’ve staked £505. I have been paid out £500 on the 2-up. so the draw cashback (all but £5 of it) is upside. So when Leics grab a second to go 3-2 and I have £500 potentially coming back from the draw, what would you expect the cashout to be? It was £65.

In 2017 there have been 2 occasions that a team have gone 2 up in the Premiership and not gone on to win….

Crystal Palace 2 Leicester City 2 on the 15th April
Bournemouth 3 Arsenal 3 on the the 3rd January

Maybe about 1 in 100?

Maybe not in the Prem no. But they don’t need to win they only need to draw – Would be nice to get the opposition win from 2-down, Genoa v Juve and Mainz v TSG i.e. the only cases so far this season. But they only need to draw to for a double up.

So you need to look outside the Prem – There’s always the Championship, the EFL, Bundesliga, La Liga, Serie A and the Champions League (steering clear) and there have been quite a few 2-2’s from a 2-up … you have to look for the likely suspects.
Girona v Atletico Madrid
Levante v Deportivo,
Spal v Udinese
Deportivo v Real Sociedad
Malaga v Athletico Bilbao 3-3, this Weekend (seeing a pattern emerge?)
Bolton v Leeds,
QPR v Milwall
the Sheffield Derby this weekend which went 2-2 from a 2-up… (cashout quick).
Mainz v TSG, TSG winning 3-2 from 2-0 down.
And as I say, Bayern was the only game that qualified on Friday and that came in.

Generally, looking at fighting home teams v a performance team away.

The cashout thing is a rule I’ve set for myself and it’s perfectly normal. I may do 3 of these in a day at the weekend, so it all accrues, there was very little cashout available on Wolfsburg at 1-2 because of the late goals and the opposition odds, hence that one ran until 2-2 and the game was almost over.

The only way I will make money on this offer is by keep doing what I’m doing… IMO

bump for bbobb too