Pricing up goal markets?
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I was looking at the stats in the Allsvenskan this weekend for team over/under goals. On Smarkets, Hammarby were 1.13 to score over 0.5 goals, in another match, Mjallby were 1.34 to score over 0.5 goals. When looking at the home form, Hammarby have an average scoring rate of 1.88 goals, and Mjallby have an average scoring rate of 1.85 goals. The away teams in these matches have an average away conceding rate of 1.12 and 1.11 respectively. I cannot understand why these goal markets are priced up so differently. Am I missing something obvious?
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