£31.28
Potential Profit
£-0.72
Actual Profit

Aston Villa v Everton Offer – William Hill


Posted by Matt (administrator) Matt
Start Time: 23/08/2019 20:00

It’s Aston Villa v Everton in the Premier League on Friday night and you don’t want to miss this Golden Goal offer from William Hill! Simply place a bet on Aston Villa or Everton to win the match and if our selected team scores first, William Hill will pay us out as a winner, up to £25.00 in cash, no matter what happens! Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £31.28 and here’s how…

Banner showing the Aston Villa v Everton offer from William Hill

Key Terms:

  • Promotion available on selected matches from 00:01 on 5th January 2019 until 23:59 on 1st June 2020.
  • Qualifying single bets must be placed on the 90 Minutes market for Aston Villa v Everton.
  • Qualifying bets must be placed before 20:00 (kick-off) on Friday 23rd August 2019.

Golden Goal Winnings:

Golden Goal winnings will be paid as cash, up to a maximum of £25.00 (plus our stake, or the proportion of our stake that contributed to those winnings).

  • Estimated profit under £25 – If we stake £25 at odds of 1.50 (1/2), we’ll receive £37.50 in cash (£12.50 winnings, plus our £25 stake).
  • Estimated profit exactly £25 – If we stake £25 at odds of 2.00 (evens), we’ll receive £50 in cash (£25 maximum winnings, plus the full £25 stake that contributed to those winnings).
  • Estimated profit over £25 – If we stake £25 at odds of 3.50 (5/2), we’ll receive £35 in cash (£25 maximum winnings, plus the £10 of our stake that contributed to those winnings).

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Aston Villa in the 90 Minutes market.

If Aston Villa score first and go on to draw or lose the match, our winnings will be paid in cash, up to a maximum of £25.00.

To calculate our back stake, we just need to divide £25.00 by 2.20 (back odds minus 1.00), which gives us £11.36. It’s best that we stick to round numbers when placing our qualifying bet, so we should stake £10.00 instead.

At the time of writing, laying our bet at Smarkets gives us the smallest qualifying loss.

We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £

Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.47…

William Hill logo

Place £10.00 on Aston Villa @ 3.20 = Potential profit of £22.00

Smarkets logo

Lay £9.47 on Aston Villa @ 3.40 = Potential liability of £22.72

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

OutcomeBookieExchangeProfit/Loss
Aston Villa score first and win+£22.00-£22.72£0.72 loss
Aston Villa score first and don't win+£22.00+£9.28£31.28 profit
Aston Villa don't score first and win+£22.00-£22.72£0.72 loss
Aston Villa don't score first and don't win-£10.00+£9.28£0.72 loss

So, if Aston Villa score first and go on to draw or lose the game, we’ll receive cash winnings of £22.00, plus the £10.00 of our stake that contributed to those winnings, giving us a profit of £22.00 at William Hill. We’ll also win £9.28 from our lay bet at Smarkets, giving us an overall potential profit of £31.28!

Any other outcome and we’ll lose £0.72. Risking £0.72 to make a profit of £31.28, gives us effective odds of 44.44, which I’m sure you’ll agree, makes this a profitable offer in the long run.

If eligible, our cash winnings will be credited within 3 hours of the match finishing or by no later than 12:00 on Saturday 24th August 2019.

Note: If your team scores first, you can either let it run as above or place an extra back bet on them to lock in a profit. If you decide to guarantee a profit, you just need to divide the sum of your potential loss and potential profit by the back odds. For example, if the back odds are 1.80 (4/5), you would divide £32.00 (£0.72 + £31.28) by 1.80, giving you a back stake of £17.78 and a guaranteed profit of £13.50.

* Aston Villa scored first and went on to win the match 2-0, resulting in a loss of £0.72 on this William Hill offer. *

Comments


  1. scu11y69

    1

    i followed this bet even as i dont quite understand how i win lol but what happens if its a draw ?
    i placed £10quid on aston villa will hill Aston Villa @21/10 Stake: £10.00 To return:£31.00

    smarkets Aston Villa vs. Everton / Winner Against Aston Villa £9.20 £22.08 3.4 £9.20

    my combined stake is 32.08 but what happens if they draw do i lose hopefully not i l take your word the bets good
    thanks for the tips anyways

    +0
    Reply
    1. Fordy

      41

      If they draw you lose around £1… You lose your back bet with WH but win your lay bet with Smarkets minus commission if you pay any.

      +1
      Reply
      1. Pete

        Guest user

        Although with a draw you don’t lose your back bet with William Hill as long as Villa score first. A draw or defeat to Villa if they score first is the ideal scenario.

        +1
        Reply
        1. Fordy

          41

          Yes, that’s the ideal scenario!

          +0
  2. Wingman

    Guest user

    There’s lots of questions this week from people who are saying they don’t understand what they’re doing …. you need to be really careful, as this is a quick way to lose money if you’re doing it blindly. Read all the guides out there – and the tips properly – and take it slowly and you’ll get there

    +2
    Reply
  3. joel

    Guest user

    So how is our profit made when we play to guarantee . – specifically where does the back bet value get determined and what do we minus to find our end profit value ? thanks great advice everyone

    +0
    Reply
    1. Bob

      Guest user

      Profit is made if your selected team scores first and goes onto not win the game.

      You can guarantee profit if they score first as outlined above in the post, I’ve personally let them all run, I’m doing it again right now, hoping everton pull this back. If they dont, then i’ll have lost around £1.30 to potentially win £31.

      +0
      Reply

Post a comment


Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *