£62.47
Potential Profit
£-1.53
Actual Profit

Liverpool v Chelsea Offer – William Hill


Posted by Matt (administrator) Matt
Start Time: 14/08/2019 20:00

It’s Liverpool v Chelsea in the UEFA Super Cup 2019 on Wednesday and you don’t want to miss this Golden Goal offer from William Hill! Simply place a bet on Liverpool or Chelsea to win the match and if our selected team scores first, William Hill will pay us out as a winner, up to £25.00 in cash, no matter what happens! Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £62.47 and here’s how…

Banner showing the Liverpool v Chelsea offer from William Hill

Key Terms:

  • Promotion available on selected matches from 00:01 on 5th January 2019 until 23:59 on 1st June 2020.
  • Qualifying single bets must be placed on the 90 Minutes market for Liverpool v Chelsea.
  • Qualifying bets must be placed before 20:00 (kick-off) on Wednesday 14th August 2019.

Golden Goal Winnings:

Golden Goal winnings will be paid as cash, up to a maximum of £25.00 (plus our stake, or the proportion of our stake that contributed to those winnings).

  • If we stake £50 at odds of 1.50 (1/2), we’ll receive £75 in cash (£25 winnings, plus our £50 stake).
  • If we stake £50 at odds of 2.00 (evens), we’ll receive £50 in cash (£25 max. winnings, plus the £25 of our stake that contributed to those winnings).
  • If we stake £50 at odds of 3.50 (5/2), we’ll receive £35 in cash (£25 max. winnings, plus the £10 of our stake that contributed to those winnings).

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Liverpool in the 90 Minutes market.

If Liverpool score first and go on to draw or lose the match, our winnings will be paid in cash, up to a maximum of £25.00.

To calculate our back stake, we just need to divide £25.00 by 0.60 (back odds minus 1.00), which gives us £41.67. It’s best that we stick to round numbers when placing our qualifying bet, so we should stake £40.00 instead.

At the time of writing, laying our bet at Smarkets gives us the smallest qualifying loss.

We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £

Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £39.26…

William Hill logo

Place £40.00 on Liverpool @ 1.60 = Potential profit of £24.00

Smarkets logo

Lay £39.26 on Liverpool @ 1.65 = Potential liability of £25.51

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

OutcomeBookieExchangeProfit/Loss
Liverpool score first and win+£24.00-£25.51£1.51 loss
Liverpool score first and don't win+£24.00+£38.47£62.47 profit
Liverpool don't score first and win+£24.00-£25.51£1.51 loss
Liverpool don't score first and don't win-£40.00+£38.47£1.53 loss

So, if Liverpool score first and go on to draw or lose the game, we’ll receive cash winnings of £24.00, plus the full £40.00 of our stake that contributed to those winnings, giving us a profit of £24.00 at William Hill. We’ll also win £38.48 from our lay bet at Smarkets, giving us an overall potential profit of £62.47!

Any other outcome and we’ll lose a maximum of £1.53. Risking £1.53 to make a profit of £62.47, gives us effective odds of 41.83, which I’m sure you’ll agree, makes this a profitable offer in the long run.

If eligible, our cash winnings will be credited within 3 hours of the match finishing or by no later than 12:00 on Thursday 15th August 2019.

Note: If your team scores first, you can either let it run as above or place an extra back bet on them to lock in a profit. If you decide to guarantee a profit, you just need to divide the sum of your potential loss and potential profit by the back odds. For example, if the back odds are 1.30 (3/10), you would divide £63.98 (£1.51 + £62.47) by 1.30, giving you a back stake of £49.22 and a guaranteed profit of £13.25.

* Chelsea scored the first goal and went on to draw the match 1-1 after 90 minutes, resulting in a loss of £1.53 on this William Hill offer. *

Comments


  1. LivelyArts

    7

    Different levels again… last one I had Tier 3 (£100) but then it dropped to Tier 1 (£25.00) before the match…this one is Tier 3 too but hesitant to do the full stake in case they drop it again….

    +0
    Reply
  2. Bob

    Guest user

    Partpoker also have a bet £20 get £5 freebet matt.

    +0
    Reply
    1. Matt

      168

      Added it to the Football Offers page Bob.

      When I had a look at the odds earlier, there wasn’t a great amount of profit to be made, so opted against putting a post up.

      +1
      Reply
      1. Bob

        Guest user

        Yeah I noticed that too, they’ve also failed to credit the freebet a couple of times to me and I’ve had to chase it. Currently looking at £1.50ish loss and will be avoiding if odds don’t move.

        +0
        Reply
  3. LivelyArts

    7

    They’ve done it again – went to do it and they’ve dropped it to £25 – wonder if they’d have honoured it if i’d done it earlier???

    +0
    Reply
  4. Nick

    Guest user

    Didn’t we used to back the least favourite and hope for an early goal?

    +0
    Reply
    1. Bob

      Guest user

      I’ve always done whoever had the better QL. Luckily for me I had £126.25 in my WilliamHill account so putting £6.25 on Chelsea shouldn’t cause any suspicion.

      +0
      Reply
    2. Matt

      168

      That’s generally my preference Nick, odds permitting. At the time of writing, the odds for Chelsea weren’t great, so Liverpool seemed the better option.

      Feel free to back whichever team works for you though.

      +0
      Reply
  5. paulgleave84

    1

    To lock in a profit do we place the back bet on the exchange,normally just let it rum but at the mo can’t see chelsea losing this one

    +1
    Reply
    1. Matt

      168

      For future reference Paul, yes you can place it on the exchange or at a bookmaker, wherever you can get the best odds really.

      +1
      Reply
  6. LivelyArts

    7

    Thinking the same Paul – might cash out at the exchange – but gonna let it run for a bit see how Liverpool come out….

    +0
    Reply
  7. Sleepless

    Guest user

    If the turnround comes off you get £25 + your lay as profit. So by backing the least favourite, you’ll get less. Worked out ok in this case but only got £25 + £6 lay

    +0
    Reply
    1. Matt

      168

      That’s correct. We get a larger potential profit by backing the favourite, but it’s less likely to come in, so it just depends how people want to play it.

      +0
      Reply

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