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Paddy Power Offer – Blue Point Price Boost

There’s a big day of racing at Goodwood today and Paddy Power are getting in the action! They’ve enhanced Blue Point to win the 14:35 at Goodwood from 10/11 to a tasty 11/8! Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a guaranteed profit of £3.63 and here’s how…

The maximum stake for this price boost is £20.00.

I like to place my exchange lay bets with Smarkets as they have great liquidity, the site is really easy to use and they only charge 2% commission in comparison to the 5% charged by other betting exchanges.

We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £24.11…

paddypower

Place £20.00 on Blue Point @ 2.375 = Potential profit of £27.50

smarkets white

Lay £24.11 on Blue Point @ 1.99 = Potential liability of £23.87

Let’s have a look at our profit/loss for the two potential outcomes…

Blue Point wins + £27.50 – £23.87 = £3.63 profit
Blue Point doesn’t win – £20.00 + £23.63 (£24.11 minus 2% commission) = £3.63 profit

So, regardless of the outcome of the race, we’ll make a guaranteed profit of £3.63 on this Paddy Power offer.

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Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £100,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.