Grand National Dutching
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With all the extra place offers kicking, the Bet365 and possibly faller insurance has anyone considered backing the field instead of laying.
With the Masters going on this weekend as well a lot of my exchange money is tied up.
Any opinions if this is viable?
+0April 7, 2017 at 9:34 am
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I’ve seen spreadsheets knocking about where people did this last year.
Similar to the golf though even if you don’t back the whole field you have so many crossover bets that you will throw away value by laying every individual one…. but there’s also the time payoff – I know I won’t back everything I want for tomorrow as it is so intend to do 365 with no lay then just back/lay whatever else I can individually+0Betstars appear to be doing Faller insurance…..doesn’t seem to be limited one horse.
5 horses per account doesn’t look too suspicious I reckon.
Oddsmatcher to back the highest price horse at each bookie and hope for a couple of BOGs.
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I’ve done something like that with the golf I guess. I haven’t even tried to back the whole field but covered 20 or 30 golfers including favourites. No lays.
Some were ew arbs, some were extra place offers, some were other money back offers. Then covered off a couple with free bet tokens.
I got value on every bet in comparison to lay prices on exchange.
I didn’t do it any way scientifically to level the payout. It’s kind of a scale to £300 profit if Rahm wins down to £60 profit if Rose wins. To maybe £100 down if none of the top guys wins or places..
I didn’t have Hoffman but got a good enough arb on him with betstars last night 8.5/7.2 as he finished the last hole I think.
It’s definitely not without its risks – but given limited stake to £2 or so on sky and limited on 365, the alternative was to back and lay £2 for a 20p profit. Instead I’ve tried to get as much money on as possible and hope for a long term 10% return on investment…
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Really like this FOG, fair play and hope it works out for you bud!
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