Mad Few Days!
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With the Ryder cup, prem footy and the odd horse race I have made £170 quid since Friday and have £105 free bets to convert.
I have a £2000 float, at what point I had £20 in my current account and a fiver available in Smarkets! Anyway, back to real life today!
Hope you all had a similar weekend.
+0October 3, 2016 at 9:56 am
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New to matched betting?
My Matched Betting Academy is the best place to get started. Learning the fundamentals takes 10-15 minutes and you’ll make £15 in the process.
Learning the fundamentals takes 10-15 minutes and you’ll make £15 in the process.
Cheers FoG, looks good.
+0Help! Can Dan or anyone explain how to do the part in the last sentence with a fictional example please? Understand the process apart from this part but it is quite an important part! Thank you.
“What I do is try to pick an evenly priced game for the 1st game of the five on my acca. Let’s say Team 1: 11/10 Draw: 5/2 Team 2: 2/1 (these are rough figures I don’t want some nerd saying they don’t add up, it doesn’t matter).
I’ll back each of those results on separate coupons so I’m guaranteed that 2 of the accas will have lost on the 1st bet which is what I want, I’m also saving on commission, most of the time I pay no commission. I underlay these so that the one that wins costs me nothing.”+0
@ subtone, any luck on the machine free bets. Didn’t happen for me this week but had selections under 1.2 on there
@utmp, just work out how much you’ll win from the 1st leg on each coupon. For example the 11/10 bet would return 55 profit. So I’ll then lay this on betfair for whatever stake has a liability of 55. Depending on what the lay odds are, let’s say they also 11/10 (2.1 decimal) which in this case is a 55 liability.+0
No, had two losers on each coupon so ended up £6 down overall with the ql.
Putting more on Fri ahead of the weekend….. just need to work out the best way to minimise the ql, need to get my head around your approach above??
+0Yes sub_tone I had same thought. I’ve made a spreadsheet for the “lose the first game and win the rest” Acca tactic.
Obviously would make sense to lay your Acca stake (+commission) for the first event, but what is tactic after that if first event comes through?
Minimise loss on remaining 4/5 outcomes (though that seems to be around £6 for scenarios I’ve tried assuming £25 stake)
Keep covering stake + accumulated losses at each event and hope the Acca doesn’t come through? (Could lead to hefty loss if Acca comes through?)
Lay so that there is no loss if Acca comes through (good chance considering remaining games are low odds)?Hope I’ve made sense there, any advice from the seasoned pros appreciated
+0Just run them through the speadsheet for the first match of them all initially? Then the one with the winning leg continue to lay leg by leg and make say £12 or so on that (assuming £50 acca). That should cover the QL of the other two that you let ride.
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@taaarm my old method was a less of an issue in this area.
Firstly I would find a match result win/draw/win over >3.0 odds with a really close (if not exact match) on the exchange. I would use this as Match 1 and then choose 4 bankers around 1.20 which I could sequentially lay if match 1 was to win.
I found this approach meant I was risking a max £1 ql if Match 1 was to lose as I would let the rest run, and if Match 1 was to win I would underlay to around 70% of my exposure for the rest of the games and get myself a potential profit by either all winning or having 1 loser and getting the FB.
Try and stick with Premier League, La Lega and Seria A etc matches as they have good liquidity.
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I’ve tried to download the acca spreadsheets from previous threads but the links all seem to be dead now – does anyone have a link to an acca spreadsheet they could share?
+0many thanks for the reply Dan I will have another go! cheers.
+0https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1n0Ue61wRTm2R-j7tvAzGMP4BxJKHe0-ftPw0G1JV5wU/edit?usp=sharing
This was my attempt with an example scenario and the red boxes being possible outcomes, but I must be missing something. What have I done wrong folks?
+0OK ignore that think this is tougher than I thought…hmmm…
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@subtone, no I mean did you get the free bet from the machine if you had 1.2 min odds? Did it work for you?
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None of my accas qualified for a Free Bet so was unable test the redemption on the machine. All of my selections were +1.20, and the slip had ‘Qualified for Acca Insurance’ printed along with my selections.
Would be interesting if it said the same with any <1.20 odds on there, ill take a look in the morning.
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https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1gyxSqh7RLi8H0Ymo9G9d0A–rwB07mxA8S9Coh62qfQ/edit?usp=sharing
I know a number of you have been looking for this acca spreadsheet recently, it covers 5 & 6 leg accas and allows you to tweak odds as it progresses.
Pretty self explanatory, if you need help walking through your in the wrong game 😉
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Question for people…so I’ve put a few weekend accas on today and I’m getting say approximately matches of 1.71 on the bookie to 1.77 on the exchange (tottenham), or draw around 3.3 to 3.4. If I’m looking at 4/5 bets with these sort of differences are they way too high or looking good? Just a guide would be good…I can look at using the s/s myself
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