Matched betting vs Trading

  • Hi all, first post on here so be gentle!

    I found this site a few weeks ago and have been following it since with steady results thanks very much. I had no idea there were so many offers from the bookies that could keep you going. I assumed it was just the registration bonus and then nothing else!

    I stumbled across matched betting after doing some bonus bagging to build up my Betfair account. I’ve been dabbling with pre-race horse trading for about a year with mixed results, as per most newbies I guess. I just wondered how other people have ended up doing all this matched betting. Are you aspiring traders, failed traders, punters who also do matched betting etc etc?

    My feelings are that although this matched betting is great, it’s quite effort intensive for sometimes only a few quid. If I could get the hang of trading that’s where I see a real life changing second income. Am I wrong?

    I’d be interested to hear your thoughts.

  • New to matched betting?

    My Matched Betting Academy is the best place to get started. Learning the fundamentals takes 10-15 minutes and you’ll make £15 in the process.

    Learning the fundamentals takes 10-15 minutes and you’ll make £15 in the process.

    Dave_Jones 7

    @ Foggy, I used to day trade US stocks a long time ago, often only holding shares for a few minutes at a time. I was not very good at it, I used to use technical analysis to help my decisions but not very successfully. The costs are greater trading stocks and futures than trading sports markets. With sports markets you can scratch a trade (buy and sell for the same price and not loose any money) you cant do this in the financial markets, or at least you couldn’t years ago. I’ve not looked recently, but I would imagine it hasn’t changed much.

    I remember years ago a profit warning coming out on CNBC after the market had closed in the US about apple computers. I had been day trading apple that day (they were around $30 at the time) and I lost my internet connection (still happens fairly often). Luckily it came back and I got out of my position (did have an automatic stop loss in place but that wont help if price jumps over it).

    Anyway that night apple shares dropped around 50% to $15, if I had not got out of my position I could have lost half my money, quite a scary prospect although I was using money that I could afford to lose but no one likes loosing money.

    I actually thought at $15 apple would be a good long term buy (coulda woulda shoulda), as it happened I didn’t buy any and the shares carried on falling I think to around 11 or 12 dollars. A couple of years ago I think apple were trading at around $600 a share, if only I had bought a pile of then and sat on them for years lol.

    Being able to scratch for no loss I think should make it easier to trade sports markets than financial ones, but I am only guessing I don’t know this for sure.

    I did however read that the BA guy who apparently has made millions sport trading, started off trading the financial markets but could not make any money doing that.

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    Dave_Jones 7

    Bought a trading book off amazon the other day titled ‘Sports Trading On Betfair’ by Wayne Bailey for £9. I’m about a third of the way through it (slow reader), and would deffo recommend it to anyone who thinks they may be interested in trading.

    If you have done a bit of match betting, then you are not going to find it at all difficult to understand, but if your new to match betting I would probably leave it until you have got a few offers under your belt.

    The author has a nice writing style which is easy to read, and he does not try and hide just how difficult sports trading actually is. There are a few strategies in the book which I would imagine would either need to be adapted or executed with lots of skill in order to be profitable.

    Do I think anyone could spend nice quid on a trading book and be instantly profitable trading sports markets, of course not. I am sure the info in the book can be found in several places on line, but its nice to have it all in one place in an easily digestible format.

    If anyone else has read the book what did you think of it?

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    Dave_Jones 7

    @ ss1412, good luck tomorrow on the course. I am sure you will learn a lot from it. I have had several PMs (from another forum) about it. Here is some of the info I was told.

    The day is extremely full on, loads of information is given and your head will be absolutely spinning at the end of the day. It is impossible to take everything in on the day, a massive book is given to each person at the end of the day to study.

    Some people take the course more than once because so much of the information didn’t sink in the first time they took it.

    Most people that contacted me still lost money after completing the course but did not blame the course for this. Only one person though that PW was holding info back, and that he didn’t feel entry and exit points were described accurately enough, there was too much ambiguity about it.

    People said knowing what to do, but actually doing it once under extreme time and financial pressure were two totally different things, and that no course can really prepare you for that situation. Its something you will have to learn for yourself, some people learn this quicker than others, most people unfortunately can not learn this. Hence I suppose why less than 5% of BF traders are winning long term.

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    ss1412 0

    I attended the Racing Workshop on Friday.I haven’t had time to put what I ive learnt into practice yet as this time of year my part-time job becomes full-time until around mid November.

    However as the workshop training revolves around Trading the final 5 to 10 minutes leading up to the start of the race. I should be able to squeeze in at least a few races a day and im really itching to get started.

    The morning up to early afternoon (1st race time) was spent with Dan explaining and drawing charts on a board as well as showing us the software to use through individual monitors in front of us so we could see how he likes to operate. He’s a very funny guy and has a great ability at making himself understood.

    He explained how he prepares himself in the hours leading up to the 1st race and why certain races will stand out to interest him to trade by looking out for certain indicators, market conditions etc .He also explained what indicators/conditions to use/look for to enter and exit trades.

    The afternoon was then spent with Dan trading the afternoon race cards to show exactly what he had taught us in the morning. He also gave his reasons for why not to enter trades. One of the other guys brought in his own laptop to follow Dan’s Trades with moderate success.

    During the day Peter Web would be in his office next door and was popping out between races to show printed screenshots results of the horses he had traded. At around 5pm he let us ask him any questions we like witch was most interesting.
    Dan also gave us his personal email address so we can ask him any further question’s related to the workshop.

    Will this workshop course make me a profitable trader? I have no idea yet. The way I look at it is I have only used a very small part of my matched betting/online poker profits to attend this workshop to try and learn something im glad to have stumbled across and really enjoy. Hopefully this will become another side-line for myself to earn a tax-free income ,all done from a Laptop.

    Once I have Traded a reasonable amount of races,I shall post on here my results and general thoughts.

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    Tony 12

    Nice write up, thanks for taking the time to post it. I will be following your progress with interest – good luck!

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    Dave_Jones 7

    @ss112 thanks for producing a really excellent write up, I have booked a course with Steve Howe towards the end of next month. I shall do a similar write up once I have completed it. I have been watching lots of his and PWs youtube videos and things are becoming a little clearer now, but I still feel there are several pieces of the puzzle I am just not getting. I’m not sure if this is my fault or (I’m hoping) some information is being deliberately held back in the videos otherwise no one would bother taking any courses.

    Like you I have not spent my MB profits and so have plenty of money to spend on some sports trading education. I have to admit I find trading far more interesting that match betting, even though its much easier to make money match betting than trading.

    I will look out for your up date once you have had some time to put in to practice what you have learned, good luck and I hope it goes well for you.

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    ss1412 0

    Dave_Jones I contacted Steve Howe before i booked the BA workshop way back in August,but i didn’t want to wait till end of November.I think you have picked a ok course as a few of the so called big names teachers were mentioned in the line of “most likely makes more money from selling courses than from their trading profits” so the fact Steve Howe’s name wasn’t dropped is a good sign.The reasons behind why they are so fake did have some very solid back up,but i dont feel it would be in the best interests of this thread to post.(not sure if i can PM in person to you on this forums format)

    Am interested to hear what style Trading Steve uses once you had done.Peter and Dans style is very big on the “swing Trading” style of spotting the Steamers and drifters.

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    Dave_Jones 7

    Steve is mainly a swing trader from what I have seen on his videos, he has done PWs course himself but this was a few years after he had been trading successfully full time.

    I can pretty much guess who the people where who you were advised to avoid if you were thinking of getting further training. I don’t think its a good idea to mention their names on a public forum though as I don’t want to get Matt into trouble. I don’t think its possible to send PMs on this site, at least I don’t think it is anyway.

    Steve used to post a lot on the Betangel forum, but I think he stopped once he started doing some trading courses himself. I guess you could say he offers some competition to PW so it would be a bit cheeky to be posting on your competitors forum. I think he also has had a hand in developing Gruss trading software.

    I am probably going to try out the Betangel interface even though its twice as expensive as Gruss, I believe its the industry standard. I would also one day like to delve into some of the automated trading systems, and there seems to be a lot of support available from BA for doing this.

    Have you ever read Adam Heathcotes blog, if not give it a go when you have some time available, its quite inspiring what can be achieved if you are a gifted trader.

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    ss1412 0

    Thats great that Steve is mainly a swing trader.It was said that scalping was profitable 5+years ago,but market condition have changed so much that their are now very few opportunities to scalp trade.I was trying to scalp with £2 trades before the course and found after say 12 races i could be around £1.82 in the green,then all it would take is 1 race to put you -£3.32 in the red and then you have a lot of catch up to do trying to make 1/2 ticks profit per trade.However i did find it a cheap educational learning curve.

    I would suggest for yourself before you start your course to try and trade a few races just using the minimum £2 stakes..When you are putting real cash into the market you do think and act more curiously and your see how quick a market can turn.Even if you lost 50 quid,just think of it as a learning cost that will help you ask more useful questions to steve. Better to lose money and learn something from it, rather than lose money and your still none the wiser.

    Adam Heathcotes was mentioned on the course,so i will check out his blog at some point.On the train over to Hook i started reading “the way of turtle ” im sure you have heard of it coming from a financial background. Im only up to the interview stages in the book,but am finding it a pleasant read.

    Anyway ive got 8 races to try and find some trade opportunities before i start work.Im hoping i can have the whole day to myself tomorrow.

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    Dave_Jones 7

    I can see how making a few trades before attending the course may be useful ss1412, but I doubt I will. I wouldn’t really know what I was doing so if I won or lost money it would really have just been down to luck, and although lets say I was to lose £50 or £100 I am not sure what I would learn from that really.

    I understand what you are saying about its only when you have real money on the line that you will really learn, I do get that however I intend to approach trading the same way I did on line poker years ago.

    I started playing one line poker for play money (this was mainly to learn the rules and the software), however I also said to myself that if I cant win when using play money then I wont bother ever using real money. As it happened it was extremely easy to win using play money as most (not all) of the players did not take the game seriously.

    I then started playing at the smallest limit stakes then available (this was 1 and 2 cents) and carried on moving up as my skills improved. The highest I used to play at was $10/$20 limit where most of the player were better than me (this was six player limit holdem) but if I could get position on one or two really poor players I could usually do well. Most of my money however came from the $5/$10 and $3/$6 tables, most tables I could manage at one time would be four but usually three.

    Over about a three year period I made tens (not hundreds) of thousands of dollars this enabled me to become debt free.

    My intention is to follow a similar path with trading. ie. start off in practice mode using play money. If after a period of time I am just losing, then pack it in. Hold my hands up and admit trading is not for me.

    If I have done well in practice mode then move on using real money, but very small stakes so that the wins or losses don’t mean very much. If I am winning then gradually increase the stakes and carry on. If I am losing again pack it in, and accept I am like the 95% of people that try sport trading.

    I like learning new things, and I have had an interest in trading for many years. I failed when I tried financial trading, but in all fairness (at that time anyway) you couldn’t start with small sums of money you always had to put a lot on the line. This meant that I was always scared in most of my trades and looking back I had very little chance of succeeding.

    Some people say using practice mode (except for leaning how the software works) and using tiny real money stakes is a waste of time because you wont take it seriously. Its only when the money means something that you will really lean how to trade. Now I think this is probably true for some people, but I think the way I learned to play poker, as explained above, showed that I can take trading seriously even if its either only play money or a few pennies on the line.

    I am in no hurry to be making lots of money from sports trading, if it eventually happens then great I will be very happy. If it doesn’t then I wont be gutted, I will give it my best shot and if I fail so what. I will then look for something else to occupy myself.

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    The wall 0

    There are some trading strategys which are very very attractive with little possible loss.For example many of you have probably heard of laying the draw.You lay the draw and then as soon as a goal is scored you back.The only way you can lose money is as time goes by the odds will very slowly drop as a draw becomes more probable,but this is slow and you can withdraw at any time,there is alo very likely to be a goal by someone.

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    Dave_Jones 7

    @ The wall. I don’t know for sure because I’ve never tried laying the draw, but from what I have read although this strategy was at one time profitable over the long run (when the exchanges where in their infancy), soccer markets are now so efficient this in no longer the case.

    If you have been doing this strategy successfully over the long term then fair play to you, perhaps its possible to still work if you have a really good football knowledge, and or access to reliable up to date soccer stats.

    I think there is a thread on this site somewhere about this, but I look at lots of forums so it may have been somewhere else I read it.

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    Dave_Jones 7

    @ ss1412 I have been using BA in practice mode now for a few days. Don’t want to use real money until I have done Steves course as I don’t really know what I am doing. I have been trying to only trade races with two fairly short priced favorites and the rest of the field being massive outsiders. As the two favorites will take up a large percentage of the book (usually over 80%) then I find it easier just to keep an eye on them rather than watch the entire field.

    If one of the favorites starts to drift then for the book to remain in balance then the other has to start coming in, so I try and trade that. I think the more you do of this kind of thing the better you will get as it, just like any skill really.

    Have you had much opportunity to put into practice what you learned on PWs course so far, or have you been too busy?

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    ss1412 0

    @Dave_Jones ive only managed to get in 7 days trading since the 7th and only 3 of those days i have had the time to follow a whole afternoon of races.The other days ive only followed up to say 6-8 races. Ive felt my best trading has been when ive followed a whole afternoon,so jumping in and grabbing races just because i have a free hour is not the best when learning.Hopefully this will change once work slows down and i get into a routine.

    Ive got Friday and Saturday off so shall try find some time to write up on my findings.

    Your strategy of trading races with two fairly short priced favorites is good enough to help you notice patterns etc until you have attended your course

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    jrubbers 0

    I am looking to add some extra profit each month alongside matched betting and it seems betfair trading is an option.

    Are there any systems/software available that has a track record of being profitable that are available to buy?

    I’ve seen some from a google search but don’t want to buy any without a recommendation! 🙂

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