Two bookmakers: guaranteed profit on opposite outcomes – PLEASE HELP

  • I’ve been matched Betting for a while, but thought about this – it seems foolproof to me unless I’m missing something.

    What’s to stop me from betting on opposite outcomes at different bookmakers, which result in profit either way?

    E.g.

    Bookmaker 1 – Over 12 Corners | Odds 2.0 | Stake £10
    Bookmaker 2 – Under 12 Corners | Odds 2.5 | Stake £10

    If I win on bookmaker 1, I gain £20 – £10 (bookmaker 1 stake) – £10 (bookmaker 2 stake) = £0 profit

    If I win on bookmaker 2, I gain £25 – £10 (bookmaker 1 stake) – £10 (bookmaker 2 stake) = £5 Profit

    As long as the odds on both book makers is at least 2.0 (to cancel out the losing bookmaker stake), this should be guaranteed profit from my understanding.

    I have obviously misunderstood something, please can anyone help?

    (I’m aware this isn’t ‘matched betting’, but it was just something I thought about as an alternative to using promotions etc – it seems a lot easier, right?)

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    MB1979 6

    Are those actual markets? 12 corners would lose both.

    Btw it’s called “dutching” if you want to read up on it. It is another way of making money.

    +2
    PinkTamwar 0

    Yes that’s true, although the probability of being exactly 12 corners is so low that, on average of several bets on different games, the probability of profiting on more games outweighs losses where 12 corners are scored.

    That was the market on Betfair sportsbook for the Chelsea West Ham game coming up (I made the odds up on the example)

    +0
    MB1979 6

    Then it’s not guaranteed profit!

    +1
    scabbadab 256

    If you have been matched betting for a while (more than a day) you should know that this 12 corner example bet is tosh- as if it’s 12 corners you lose all. This particular example is not that far off ‘dutching’ on a premier league darts match for a small profit then getting wiped out every time the draw comes in about 15\20% of the time- prob a simalar % chance to the exact 12 corner coming in thus wiping your €5 or so profits out with €40 loss every 5/6 games

    +1
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