The Cheltenham Festival 2020 gets underway on Tuesday and you don’t want to miss this Bet365 offer! Simply back a winner at odds of 4/1 or more in any live ITV race and Bet365 will give us a risk-free bet equal to our stake, up to a maximum of £50.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us an overall potential profit of £100.00+ and here’s how…
Key Terms:
- Offer applies to first win or each way single bet placed on each race shown live on ITV Racing.
- If our horse wins at odds of 5.00 (4/1) or greater, we’ll qualify for a risk-free bet to the same stake, up to £50.00, on the next ITV race.
- Risk-free bets must be placed using our own funds and if it loses, Bet365 will refund our stake in cash.
Qualifying Bets:
This offer is available on the first five races each day (13:30, 14:10, 14:50, 15:30 and 16:10).
If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
We know that if our horse wins, we’ll be able to extract 75% cash from the £50.00 risk-free bet. We can therefore add 0.75 to the back odds to get our effective odds…
Overlaying like this is an option, but the guaranteed profits are likely to be small. Therefore, it may be best to lay our bets as normal and hope a couple of our horses win for bigger profits.
The back and lay odds should tighten up as the start of each race draws near. Having looked at the odds available for the Arkle Chase (14:10 on Tuesday), we could place our qualifying bet on Fakir D’Oudairies.
At the time of writing, laying our bet at Betfair gives us the smallest qualifying loss.
Betfair are currently offering new customers 0% commission up to £500 for the first 30 days.
If you’re an existing Betfair customer, you can opt in to pay just 2% commission by selecting their Basic reward plan.
For more information about My Betfair Rewards and how to opt in, please see my Betfair 2% Commission page.
We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £49.28…
Place £50.00 on Fakir D’Oudairies @ 5.50 = Potential profit of £225.00
Lay £49.28 on Fakir D’Oudairies @ 5.60 = Potential liability of £226.68
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
Outcome | Bookie | Exchange | Extracted | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|
Fakir D’Oudairies wins | +£225.00 | -£226.68 | +£37.50 | £35.82 profit |
Fakir D’Oudairies doesn’t win | -£50.00 | +£48.29 | £1.71 loss |
So, we’ll make a nice profit of £35.82 if Fakir D’Oudairies wins, otherwise we’ll lose £1.71. Risking £1.71 to make a profit of £35.82 gives us effective odds of 21.95. So, given that Fakir D’Oudairies is odds of just 5.50 (9/2) to win the race, this is a profitable offer in the long run.
ITV are covering 20 races across Cheltenham Festival 2020, giving us an overall potential profit of £100.00+ on this Bet365 offer!
If any of our selections win, our risk-free bet will be valid on the very next ITV race. We must place our risk-free bets using our own funds and if our selection loses, Bet365 will refund our stake in cash, up to a maximum of £50.00. If our risk-free bet wins, we’ll qualify for another risk-free bet on the next ITV race.
If you’re unsure how to extract £37.50 cash (75%) from a £50.00 risk-free bet, check out my Risk-Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
I’ll update the following table with some actual selections at the end of each day…
Race | Selection | Back Odds | Lay Odds | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|
14:10 Tuesday | Fakir D’Oudairies | 5.50 | 5.60 | -£1.71 |
15:30 Tuesday | Cilaos Emery | 8.50 | 8.60 | -£1.47 |
14:10 Wednesday | Champ | 5.00 | 5.30 | -£3.60 |
14:50 Wednesday | Dame De Compagnie | 5.50 | 5.80 | +£63.14 * |
15:30 Wednesday | Dynamite Dollars | 8.00 | 9.60 | +£35.79 ** |
16:10 Wednesday | Easysland | 5.00 | 5.00 | -£0.80 |
13:30 Thursday | Samcro | 5.50 | 6.00 | +£36.85 *** |
14:10 Thursday | Relegate | 6.00 | 6.60 | +£37.23 **** |
13:30 Friday | Solo | 5.00 | 5.30 | -£3.60 |
14:50 Friday | Thyme Hill | 6.00 | 6.00 | -£0.84 |
* Champ won the 14:10 on Wednesday and Dame De Compagnie won the 14:50 on Wednesday at starting price (SP) odds of 6.00 (5/1), resulting in a profit of £63.14, courtesy of Bet365’s Best Odds Guaranteed promotion.
** Dame De Compagnie won the 14:50 on Wednesday, resulting in a profit of £35.79 on the 15:30 on Wednesday.
*** Easysland won the 16:10 on Wednesday, resulting in a profit of £36.85 on the 13:30 on Thursday.
**** Samcro won the 13:30 on Thursday, resulting in a profit of £37.23 on the 14:10 on Thursday.
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Beth
Guest userHi Matt,
Do you know if you get a notification that you definitely have a risk-free bet on the next race? Just want to be sure that I’m eligible. Thanks.
Matt
1544Yes you should do Beth.
Chris
Guest userWhat happens if I put all of my bets down in the morning? If, say, the first bet wins, do I need to place another bet on the second race for my risk fee bet? Or is my risk free bet the bet I already placed on the second race from the morning?
Matt
1544Your risk-free bet would be the bet you already placed in the morning Chris.
Wingman
Guest userAlthough you would want to reduce your associated lay bet to the risk free lay bet (assuming you’re able to).
Bruce T
Guest userHi.
What is the highest qualifying loss you would suggest taking?
Wingman
Guest userDepends on your approach really. I tried to do some research to make it less of a shot in the dark, in which case you might be happy with a slightly higher QL, but I was generally aiming for £2.50 or less on a £50 bet. Sometimes you have to let that sit on the exchange as an open offer to get a match (which risks the market going against you).
Other times, you struggle for a QL under £5 – in these cases you might be best passing.
As an aside, it’s probably worth placing a couple of tight matches on races that don’t qualify for the 4/1 bonus – so you’re less obviously doing what you are doing!
Matt
1544Agreed, solid advice @Wingman.
Bruce T
Guest userCheers mate
Stephen H
Guest userThanks for the tip. I noticed there were 5 races today, should I have bet on each one to maximise the chance of the free bet?
Wingman
Guest userTechnicality (potentially) but it is a risk free bet, not a free bet. The second bet still has to be wagered out of your funds.
But yes, you can win multiple risk free bets per day.
Matt
1544It’s unlikely you’ll be able to find a suitable match on all five races Stephen.